Jan 28, 2008
Ah, somewhere Earl Weaver smiles.... (Aug 3, 2009 | post #18)
Actually, the Brewers and Astros have serious deficiencies. The Cubs are the only team that will give the Cards issues. And, let's face it, take away April, and the Cubs would be 6 games up on the Cards. Holliday will help the big deficiencies of the Cards (a one-dimensional offense outside of Pujols, dependent entirely on occasional extra-base hits). However, the Cards have been a sub-0.500 team for nearly 3 months now, and one guy never makes that big of a difference. (Jul 24, 2009 | post #9)
The Cards did not have enough to get Halladay before they acquired Holliday. They basically gave up the rest of their farm to get Holliday, so this is it for them. This does not, by any means, guarantee the Cards anything. Remember, the Cards still are riding their great April: they have lost more games than they have won since then. Holliday will help a lot, but their lineup still has too many guys who make too many outs. Albert Pujols is an amazing hitter, but he can only bat once every 9 guys: after him, only 2 Cards have OBPs over 0.35. Well, now the Cards have 3 more! And, keep in mind: we cannot make any predictions about how teams will do in post-season until we've seen them play in September. Could anyone 12 months ago have predicted how bad the Cubs and Brewers would be in September, or how good the Dodgers and Phillies would be? (Jul 24, 2009 | post #8)
What about the highly erudite Cubs fans? (There are a lot of us, you know...) (Gives KDOG time to look up "erudite. ") (Jul 15, 2009 | post #32)
Sure. There is almost no correlation between "clutch hitting" and runs scored. After homers, doubles and walks, none of the batting statistics have any significant relationship with runs scored. Just to provide an example, the Phils led the NL in runs scored 2 years ago with the 2nd worst BA with Runners in scoring position. The Cubs led the NL in runs scored last year with one of the lowest BAs with runners in scoring position & two outs. How did they score? Simple: they batted with runners in scoring position a lot more than did teams that did better in the clutch, and thus scored more runs than teams that (percentage wise) supposedly did better in the clutch. Get the team OBP back up to 0.35, and the Cubs will win games. (Jul 15, 2009 | post #31)
Since the end of April, the Cards are 33-35 with a -9 run differential. That is pretty faltered already! (Jul 15, 2009 | post #5)
This left off the #1 things that the Cubs must do. GET ON BASE. Scratch from this lis "clutch hitting." Clutch hitting is a total red herring: what determines numbers of runs is not batting average with men in scoring position, but how often men get on base. The Cubs OBP with the bases empty is around 30%. They routinely have 1-2-3 innings. Almost every team in the NL has more plate appearances with men on base than the Cubs do because of this: and almost every team in the NL has more runs scored (and more runners stranded) than the Cubs do. (Jul 15, 2009 | post #4)
No, but they get to "cheat" by comparing the box offices of (soon to be) six films to that of three films. However, Rings did do one thing: all the movies after the first two have been strongly influenced by the style of adaptation done in Rings. (I.e., tell the story, don't just film events from the book!) (Jul 13, 2009 | post #5)
This question was answered years ago. The movies sell as many tickets in N. America alone as the books sell worldwide, and far, far faster. For all the hoopla over the last book two summers ago, the movie out at nearly the same time sold over 3X as many tickets in the week prior to the book's release! So, all along, the bulk of the movie audience has been like Knowles: i.e., "I'll wait for the movie, thanks." (Jul 13, 2009 | post #4)
Maybe, but unless you count the 1994 ALW, that never has happened. (Jul 11, 2009 | post #13)
Um, Dusty Baker's theories on heat (i.e., that balls carry further in warm weather) is Physics 101. It was Dusty's theory on on-base percentage (guys who take walks prevent other guys from scoring) that was stupid. (Jul 11, 2009 | post #12)
Actually, all knowledgeable baseball people know that pitching is much better in the AL than in the NL, and that the best pitching in the AL is concentrated in the AL East. Again, did the AL's annual stomp of the NL in interleague play teach people nothing? (Indeed, if it were not for the Jays weird inability to beat inferior NL teams, the numbers would be even more lopsided!) (Jul 11, 2009 | post #32)
You overrate the ChiSox system greatly. It is ranked in the bottom third, even after acquiring prospects for Vazquez. The Cards and Brewers have better systems according to most MLB scouts. However, both have financial limitations (especially St. Louis.) The Sox have the prospects and the $$$, but there is no way that Ricciardi trades Halladay within his own division. The Dodgers could snag Halladay if they will part with Kershaw. That would basically be Halladay-now for maybe-Halladay-in- 5-years. As Cub fans know, always trade "might become" for "is" as most "might becomes" do not! (Jul 11, 2009 | post #31)
The "slow death" started before this season. Remember, the Cubs were just as bad for the last month of last year as they have been this season. Indeed, the Cubs have been marginally better this year than they were for the last month of last season. The Cubs were 12-14 with a -10 run differential over the last month of last season, compared to 41-42 with a -3 run differential to date. Basically, that's a 0.498 team vs. a 0.475 team. I still don't get why people thought that the playoffs were an collapse or an upset last year: I guess that people just did not realize how mediocre the Cubs were the last 5 weeks of the season. (Jul 10, 2009 | post #103)
This is not basketball: the Cubs cannot have ARam bat every time that there is a guy in scoring position. Even that would not help: the Cubs problem is that only a couple of teams have fewer ABs with runners in scoring position than they do. The Cubs offense need to get back to the Moneyball that made it so good for the first 5 months of last season. (Jul 5, 2009 | post #2)
Q & A with PJW
used to be Hyde Park
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