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May 27, 2013

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Need Gold Dust Sellers: CIF to US Refinery

Introduction about Stock RSI: Developed by Tushard Chande and Stanley Kroll, Stock RSI is an oscillator (www.seekingtechni that measures the level of RSI relative to its high-low range over a set time period. StochRSI applies the Stochastics formula to RSI values, instead of price values. This makes it an indicator of an indicator. The result is an oscillator that fluctuates between 0 and 1. In their 1994 book, (The New Technical Trader), Chance and Kroll explain that RSI can oscillate between 80 and 20 for extended periods without reaching extreme levels. Notice that 80 and 20 are used for overbought and oversold instead of the more traditional 70 and 30. It is important to remember that StochRSI is an indicator of an indicator, which makes it the second derivative of price. This means it is two steps (formulas) removed from the price of the underlying security. Price has undergone two changes to become StochRSI. Converting prices to RSI is one change.  (May 27, 2013 | post #71)


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The Stochastic Indicator and when it works: Many traders use indicators to determine when to enter and exit trades. Most charting software includes dozens of (different indicators) that can be displayed on the charts. Popular indicators such as the Stochastic, and MACD, are frequently discussed when traders get together. I have listened to a number of these discussions; the interesting thing is that people typically explain why they use a particular indicator by citing a number of examples of when it has worked for them. The examples do not prove anything. It is possible to flip a coin and have it come up heads five times in a row. Few traders would observe this and then think that when you flip a coin it always comes up heads. Yet for some reason people will read an article about an (www.seekingtechni indicator that shows four or five examples of good trades it produced, and then they will go and risk their money trading the technique.  (May 27, 2013 | post #2)


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Basis of Technical Analysis: At the turn of the century, the Doe Theory laid the foundations for what was later to become modern technical analysis. Dow Theory was not presented as one complete amalgamation, but rather pieced together from (www.seekingtechni the writings of Charles Dow over several years. Of the many theorems put forth by Dow, three stand out: 1. Price Discounts Everything 2. Price Movements Are Not Totally Random 3. "What" Is More Important than "Why" This theorem is similar to the strong and semi-strong forms of market efficiency. Technical analysts believe that the current price fully reflects all information. Because all information is already reflected in the price, it represents the fair value, and should form the basis for analysis. After all, the market price reflects the sum knowledge of all participants, including traders, investors, portfolio managers, buy-side analysts, sell-side analysts, market strategist, (technical analysts,) fundamental analysts and many others.  (May 27, 2013 | post #30)


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Technical Indicators and Oscillators: This article is designed to introduce the concept of technical indicators and explain how to use them in your analysis. We will shed light on the difference between leading and lagging indicators, as well as look into the benefits and drawbacks. Many, if not most, popular indicators are shown as oscillators. With this in mind, we will also show how to read oscillators and explain how signals are derived. Later we will turn our focus to specific technical indicators and provide examples of signals in action.  (May 27, 2013 | post #8)


Sale or PPP for Venezuelan Bonds

What Is a Technical Indicator? A technical indicator is a series of data points that are derived by applying a formula to the price data of a security. Price data includes any combination of the open, high, low or close over a period of time. Some (www.seekingtechni indicators may use only the closing prices, while others incorporate volume and open interest into their formulas. The price data is entered into the formula and a data point is produced. For example, the average of the 3 closing prices is one data point ( (41+43+43) / 3 = 42.33 ). However, one data point does not offer much information and does not an indicator make. A series of data points over a period of time is required to create valid reference points to enable analysis. By creating a time series of data points, a comparison can be made between present and past lives. For (analysis purposes), technical indicators are usually shown in a graphical form above or below a security's price chart. Once shown in graphical form, an indicator can then be compared with the corresponding price chart of the security.  (May 27, 2013 | post #62)


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Challenge of Indicators: For technical indicators, there is a trade-off between sensitivity and consistency. In an ideal world, we want an indicator that is sensitive to price movements, gives early signals and has few false signals (whipsaws). If we increase the sensitivity by reducing the number of periods, (an indicator) will provide early signals, but the number of false signals will increase. If we decrease sensitivity by increasing the number of periods, then the number of false signals will decrease, but the signals will lag and this will skew the reward to risk ratio. The longer a moving average is, the slower it will react and fewer signals will be generated. As the moving average is shortened, it becomes faster and more volatile, increasing the number of false signals. The same holds true for the various momentum indicators (www.seekingtechni A 14 period RSI will generate fewer signals than a 5 period RSI.  (May 27, 2013 | post #478)


HSBC under fire from all sides at AGM

Positive and Negative Divergences: Divergence is a key concept behind many signals for oscillators as well as other indicators. Divergences can serve as a warning that the trend is about to change or set up a buy or sell signal. There are two types of divergences: (positive and negative). In its most basic form, a positive divergence occurs when the indicator advances and the underlying security declines. A negative divergence occurs when an indicator declines and the underlying security advances.  (May 27, 2013 | post #2)

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Signals of Oscillator: Oscillators generate buy & sell signals in various ways. Some signals are geared towards early entry, while others appear after the trend has begun. In addition to buying and sell signals, oscillators can signal that something is amiss with the current trend or that the current trend is about to change. Even though (oscillators) can generate their own signals, it is important to use these signals in conjunction with other aspects of technical analysis. Most oscillators are momentum indicators and only reflect one characteristic of a security's price action. Volume, price patterns and support or else resistance levels should also be taken into (www.seekingtechni consideration.  (May 27, 2013 | post #25)


'God Made Dad & Mom' -- But Not Dad & Dad?

The importance of stop-loss: Stop-loss plays an important role in trading and usually one of the biggest mistakes of traders is to let losses run while closing profitable positions with small profits. It is always painful to take a loss, but it is much better to admit a small loss than leave the position open till the loss becomes unmanageable. Forex, CFDs, commodities etc. are marginal-traded products and the leverage can act against you or for you, so small movements in the price of these instruments may result in big profits or big losses. Therefore money management and risk control are very important for traders in order to be successful. Thanks to stop-losses, you can limit your risks and hence your possible losses in advance. For example, if you set a stop-loss order 50 points below the price you paid, your loss will be limited to 50 points.  (May 27, 2013 | post #69)

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Aroon Oscillator: The Aroon indicator was developed by Tushar S. Chance and first described in the September 1995 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine. The Aroon Oscillator is a trend following indicator that uses aspects of the Aroon indicators (Aroon Up and Aroon Down) and is calculated by the difference between Aroon Up and Aroon Down. Aroon is unique because it focuses on time relative to price. The Aroon Oscillator will be high when the Aroon Up is high and the Aroon Down is low, indicating a strong upward trend. The Aroon Oscillator will be low when the Aroon Down is high and the Aroon Up is low, indicating a strong downward trend. When the Up and Down are approximately equal, the Aroon Oscillator will hover around zero, indicating a weak trend or consolidation.  (May 27, 2013 | post #30)

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Central banks and monetary policies: A central bank, also called a "reserve bank", is an institution that manages a nation's currency, money supply, and interest rates. Central banks also usually oversee the commercial banking system of their respective countries. In contrast to a commercial bank, a central bank possesses a monopoly on increasing the nation's monetary base, and usually also prints the national currency, which usually serves as the nation's legal tender. The primary function of a central bank is to manage the nation's money supply (monetary policy), through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis. Central banks usually also have supervisory powers, intended to prevent commercial banks and other financial institutions from reckless or fraudulent behavior. Central banks in most developed nations are institutionally designed to be independent from political interference.  (May 27, 2013 | post #194)