New Ice Age 'to begin in 2014'

New Ice Age 'to begin in 2014'

Posted in the Poland Forum


Kraków, Poland

#1 Feb 21, 2012
Russian scientist to alarmists:'Sun heats Earth!'
Published: 05/17/2010 at 8:42 PM on

CHICAGO – A new “Little Ice Age” could begin in just four years, predicted Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of space research at St. Petersburg’s Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia.

Abdussamatov was speaking yesterday at the Heartland Institute‘s Fourth International Conference on Climate Change in Chicago, which began Sunday and ends today.

The Little Ice Age, which occurred after an era known in scientific circles as the Medieval Warm Period, is typically defined as a period of about 200 years, beginning around 1650 and extending through 1850.

Through 2014 the earth will go through a series of unstable variations in which global temperature will oscillate around the maximum reached in the years 1998-2005.

In 2003-2005, Abdussamatov predicted a reduction of sunspot activity that would reach a new minimum in 2042, resulting in a deep global temperature minimum in the years 2055-2060.

“The observed global warming of the climate of the Earth is not caused by the anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gasses, but by extraordinarily high solar intensity that extended over virtually the entire past century,” Abdussamatov wrote.“Future decrease in global temperature will occur even if anthropogenic ejection of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere rises to record levels.

“Over the past decade, global temperature on the Earth has not increased; global warming has ceased, and already there are signs of the future deep temperature drop.”

Abdussamatov concluded Earth is no longer threatened by the catastrophic global warming forecast by some scientists, since warming passed its peak in 1998-2005.

“The global temperature of the Earth has begun its decrease without limits on the volume of greenhouse gas emissions by industrial developed countries,” he wrote.“Therefore, the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol aimed to rescue the planet from the greenhouse effect should be put off at least 150 years.”


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Kraków, Poland

#2 Dec 28, 2012
New Little Ice Age Near

Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov, head of space research at Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in St. Petersburg, Russia, is suggesting the next Grand Minimum in this paper: Bicentennial Decrease of the Total Solar Irradiance Leads to Unbalanced Thermal Budget of the Earth.

“From early 90s we observe bicentennial decrease in both the TSI and the portion of its energy absorbed by the Earth,” says Abdussamatov.“The Earth as a planet will henceforward have negative balance in the energy budget which will result in the temperature drop in approximately 2014.”



#3 Dec 28, 2012
it's going to be caused by a combination of factors. But if pollution in London could cause dangerous changes in the weather (with pea soup fog) then it makes sense mass-produced pollution in China can do the same to the planet.

Kraków, Poland

#4 Dec 28, 2012
Human activity can influence weather sepecially locally or in short period but has no significant matter to global weather in a long time when we take the Sun influence into consideration.

These are scientist findings not mine.


#5 Dec 28, 2012
Martix the scientists disagree on this subject. There are many arguments and counter-arguments. But the sunspot theory is a very convenient excuse for industry.


Since: Dec 12

Brewster, NY

#6 Dec 28, 2012
Actually I had predicted cooling off after 2013 myself which I predict to be the hottest year on record.

Then I predict it will get cooler for decades from there.

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