Asia Will Swallow The West By 2030: US InteL
Posted in the China Forum
#1 Dec 11, 2012
Asia to Eclipse West by 2030 Says US Intel Report
By several years before 2030 China will have overtaken the US as the worlds biggest economy, according to a quadrennial intelligence assessment by the US-based National Intelligence Council (NIC).
Among the more surprising assessments offered by the NICs Global Trends 2030 report is the conclusion that by 2030 Asia will have more overall power than the US and Europe combined in light of relative populations, gross domestic product (GDP), military spending and technology investments.
The other surprising assessment is that the US will not only be energy independent by then but will likely be a net energy exporter.
Most of the reports conclusions arent surprising. For example, it foresees that the economies of Europe, Japan, and Russia will continue declining relative to those of the developing world.
Though the US will no longer be the sole superpower as its often considered to be today, the report doesnt foresee China taking its place. Beijing isnt likely to forge efffective coalitions to take the lead on addressing global issues the way the US has been doing for the last century, it concludes.
It will no longer be the most powerful nation unilaterally but the US may continue to have the leading impact on the world, especially if it is able to forge an alliance with China, the report suggests.
But the report concludes that the future remains fluid and subject to the vagaries of global economic trends, governance, evolving methods of conflict, regional spillover, new technologies and the future role of the US.
The current NIC intelligence report is study is the fifth of its kind, with the last one published in 2008.
#2 Dec 12, 2012
The world has changed a lot since 2008, especially the balance of world power has shifted East.
Asis surpassed Europe as the world's largest economy back in 2010.
#3 Dec 12, 2012
Simply amazing what China has achieved in such a short time!
#4 Dec 12, 2012
This is Americas own intelligence gathering reports.
#5 Dec 13, 2012
America admits it is dying.
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