SE QLD NTHN NSW Cyclone in 2013!

SE QLD NTHN NSW Cyclone in 2013!

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WeatherMan

Adelaide, Australia

#1 Dec 28, 2012
If my predictions are correct a cyclone will cross coastline south of Bundaberg to Byron Bay in 2013! My reasons for this prediction is the cycle of cyclones is due to turn southwards and southeast Already cyclone evan has moved south. As well SOI is neutral so with no el nino forming the potiential is there for many cyclones to form.

“We don't have to take it”

Since: Jun 08

WhereTFamI?

#2 Dec 28, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
If my predictions are correct a cyclone will cross coastline south of Bundaberg to Byron Bay in 2013! My reasons for this prediction is the cycle of cyclones is due to turn southwards and southeast Already cyclone evan has moved south. As well SOI is neutral so with no el nino forming the potiential is there for many cyclones to form.
Cyclone Evan hit Fiji on 13th December, what are you talking about?

There's a Low up in the Coral Sea now, expected to form into a cyclone over the next few days.
WeatherMan

Australia

#3 Dec 28, 2012
Yes both cyclones move in a south and southwest direction. Unlike Cyclone Yasi and Larry and other similar cyclones in recent years which travelled west. We havent had a cyclone cross the coast south of Bundaberg since 1974! This is because we have had an el nino draught conditions for 35 years! The cycle of cyclone visiting SE Qld NTH NSW will chance and when it does there is going to be a lot of damage. Check out this website and take note of the damage cyclones have done in SE QLD during these years! 1864,1867, 1890-1894, 1927-1928,1947-1948, 1951,1954,1967,1974. Its been 38 years since the last big event and people have forgotten about the problems cyclones have caused in SEQ.

http://www.windworker.com.au/qldcyclones.htm

WeatherMan

Australia

#4 Dec 28, 2012
Its important to note that from mid 1940- 1970s mainly neutral conditions with years of flooding then mid 1970-2009 was dominated by drought. During the 30-35 years(1940-1970s)many cyclones moved in the direction of SE QLD! The cycle has turned around and will repeat itself again! Thats how nature works!
caucasianmale

Australia

#5 Dec 28, 2012
Gottaliv wrote:
<quoted text>
Cyclone Evan hit Fiji on 13th December, what are you talking about?
There's a Low up in the Coral Sea now, expected to form into a cyclone over the next few days.
I was in the cyclone carlos in darwin .Im a bit weird I suppose as I enjoyed it as the streets were deserted and the winds were so loud, as i walked alone. the trees were bending, soem huge trees had been uplifted. i had to bend forward to walk. the sound was very loud near the beach it got so loud i had to take cover next to the solid parliamrent house building, which was especially built of double reinforced steel to withsatnd the forces of cyclones. I found it a bit exciting
WeatherMan

Australia

#6 Dec 28, 2012
Tropical Cyclone FIVE is expected to track south until tuesday towards the direction of New Zealand! Similiar to Cyclone Evan! Interesting to see these cyclone movements! There is still potiential because of warmer waters along the QLD coastline (due to neutral SOI)for a Cyclone tracking in a Southwestly direction to cross the coastline! If you look at the cyclones that have crossed the QLD coastline in the SE QLD NTHN NSW it requires water waters along QLD coastline to give the cyclone enough power to cross. Check out this website for tracking QLD cyclones over the last 100yrs! Use the BOM-AU tab.

http://australiasevereweather.com/tropical_cy...
tolloopie

Australia

#8 Dec 28, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
Tropical Cyclone FIVE is expected to track south until tuesday towards the direction of New Zealand! Similiar to Cyclone Evan! Interesting to see these cyclone movements! There is still potiential because of warmer waters along the QLD coastline (due to neutral SOI)for a Cyclone tracking in a Southwestly direction to cross the coastline! If you look at the cyclones that have crossed the QLD coastline in the SE QLD NTHN NSW it requires water waters along QLD coastline to give the cyclone enough power to cross. Check out this website for tracking QLD cyclones over the last 100yrs! Use the BOM-AU tab.
http://australiasevereweather.com/tropical_cy...
that was in 1967 you mental patient, get your meds.
WeatherMan

Australia

#9 Dec 28, 2012
tolloopie wrote:
<quoted text>
that was in 1967 you mental patient, get your meds.
So you think that it wont happen again! You are probably from the Greens and will blame everything on Global Warming! Its been happening since 1867 when records first started YOU NUMBSKULL. Its the way the weather cycles work! Its been happening for 1000s of years before 1867 and will happen again in the near future!
WeatherMan

Australia

#10 Dec 28, 2012
Everybody MUST get PDC World Disaster Alerts App for ipad/iphone! It may come in handy in 2013!
WeatherMan

Australia

#11 Dec 28, 2012
Check out the path of cyclone NO 194603 in 1947 which tracked in a SW direction! It formed into a cyclone exactually the same position as Cyclone Freda has formed! The similarities are uncanny! If it behaves the same as cyclone evan which tracked close to New Zealand it could have enough power to reach Australia in a southwestly direction!
WeatherMan

Australia

#12 Dec 28, 2012
caucasian male

Brunswick East, Australia

#13 Dec 29, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
<quoted text>
So you think that it wont happen again! You are probably from the Greens and will blame everything on Global Warming! Its been happening since 1867 when records first started YOU NUMBSKULL. Its the way the weather cycles work! Its been happening for 1000s of years before 1867 and will happen again in the near future!
It will happen again but you cant predict when, and australias cyclone zones have always been around darwin and nw wa, cyclone evan was a freak spurred on by global warming, so there will be more cyclones because of increased poluttion caused by the billionaires and multinationals and the govs that support them. im one of those few freaks who enjoy cyclones,theres overkill too as cyclone proof buildings have already been built in darwin, after cyclone tracy,so we already have the knowledge to build cyclone proof buildings, so its more dangerous outside in a cyclone,than in a cyclone proof building, in qld they should be consulting the darwin builders as many standard built homes are not very strong

“We don't have to take it”

Since: Jun 08

WhereTFamI?

#14 Dec 29, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
How about this one... 29 -12 -2012

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
For 4:56 pm EST on Saturday 29 December 2012
At 3 pm EST Saturday, Tropical Cyclone Freda (Category 2) with central pressure
985 hPa was located
over the Coral Sea near latitude 12.6 south longitude 159.8 east, which is
about 355 km south of Honiara and 1580 km east northeast of Cairns.

The cyclone is moving south southwest at about 10 kilometres per hour and
should gradually intensify over the next 24 hours.
Tropical Cyclone Freda is currently producing gale to storm force winds about
the southern islands of the Solomon Islands chain. The system lies well off
the east coast of Australia and is not expected to move significantly closer to
Australia over the forecast period.

The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 11 pm EST today.

http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Cyclone Freda

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml

Hope you can tell me it'll miss North Qld, have had the 'excitement' of enough of these to last three lifetimes!

“We don't have to take it”

Since: Jun 08

WhereTFamI?

#15 Dec 29, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
This is the biggest one which directly hit my town in 1918 - the accompanying flood and wind moved beach front houses a mile and a half inland, some actually still in one piece.

http://australiasevereweather.com/tropical_cy...
caucasian

Brunswick East, Australia

#16 Dec 29, 2012
Gottaliv wrote:
<quoted text>
This is the biggest one which directly hit my town in 1918 - the accompanying flood and wind moved beach front houses a mile and a half inland, some actually still in one piece.
http://australiasevereweather.com/tropical_cy...
tropical cyclone carlos is the one i experienced first hand,and the loudest winds id heard in my whole life

http://australiasevereweather.com/tropical_cy...
WeatherMan

Australia

#17 Dec 29, 2012
Gottaliv wrote:
<quoted text>
How about this one... 29 -12 -2012
TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
For 4:56 pm EST on Saturday 29 December 2012
At 3 pm EST Saturday, Tropical Cyclone Freda (Category 2) with central pressure
985 hPa was located
over the Coral Sea near latitude 12.6 south longitude 159.8 east, which is
about 355 km south of Honiara and 1580 km east northeast of Cairns.
The cyclone is moving south southwest at about 10 kilometres per hour and
should gradually intensify over the next 24 hours.
Tropical Cyclone Freda is currently producing gale to storm force winds about
the southern islands of the Solomon Islands chain. The system lies well off
the east coast of Australia and is not expected to move significantly closer to
Australia over the forecast period.
The next Information Bulletin will be issued by 11 pm EST today.
http://www.bom.gov.au/cgi-bin/wrap_fwo.pl...
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP
Tropical Cyclone Freda
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
Hope you can tell me it'll miss North Qld, have had the 'excitement' of enough of these to last three lifetimes!
BOM have all the figure and information but they do not know anymore about the behaviour or tracking of the cyclone than you and I do! If it comes in our direction they will only issue more warnings more frequently.
Raiderpete

Brookvale, Australia

#18 Dec 29, 2012
Sorry mate that comment we have been in elnino for 35 years is apsolute garbage. Last 2 years saw the two strongest elnino events in recent history. The whole eastern seaboard was well and truly drenched
WeatherMan wrote:
Yes both cyclones move in a south and southwest direction. Unlike Cyclone Yasi and Larry and other similar cyclones in recent years which travelled west. We havent had a cyclone cross the coast south of Bundaberg since 1974! This is because we have had an el nino draught conditions for 35 years! The cycle of cyclone visiting SE Qld NTH NSW will chance and when it does there is going to be a lot of damage. Check out this website and take note of the damage cyclones have done in SE QLD during these years! 1864,1867, 1890-1894, 1927-1928,1947-1948, 1951,1954,1967,1974. Its been 38 years since the last big event and people have forgotten about the problems cyclones have caused in SEQ.
http://www.windworker.com.au/qldcyclones.htm
Raiderpete

Brookvale, Australia

#19 Dec 29, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
Check out the path of cyclone NO 194603 in 1947 which tracked in a SW direction! It formed into a cyclone exactually the same position as Cyclone Freda has formed! The similarities are uncanny! If it behaves the same as cyclone evan which tracked close to New Zealand it could have enough power to reach Australia in a southwestly direction!
I will bet my left nut the only affect Freda will have is to create great surf for those in seq northern nsw. Otherwise no impact on Australia what so ever
Raiderpete

Brookvale, Australia

#20 Dec 29, 2012
Raiderpete wrote:
Sorry mate that comment we have been in elnino for 35 years is apsolute garbage. Last 2 years saw the two strongest elnino events in recent history. The whole eastern seaboard was well and truly drenched <quoted text>
meant 2 strongest la Nina events *
Raiderpete

Brookvale, Australia

#21 Dec 29, 2012
WeatherMan wrote:
<quoted text>
So you think that it wont happen again! You are probably from the Greens and will blame everything on Global Warming! Its been happening since 1867 when records first started YOU NUMBSKULL. Its the way the weather cycles work! Its been happening for 1000s of years before 1867 and will happen again in the near future!
climate change is happening whether u believe it or not. A percentage is natural but to think humans don't have an impact would be a case of putting ones head in the sand. Been following the weather ( particularly severe weather ) since a child and every season is different to the next. Personally I do think the south pacific will be bombarded with cyclones for the season due to the current soi and the warm waters in that region. I also do think there will be the potential for a few late season cyclones to affect the qld coast. But I'm not sure how far south these will travel. The Proserpine to Gladstone area too is very due for a cyclone. With a warmer climate comes stronger cyclones as already seen near Fiji and across the northern hemispheres season just gone. So it's a wait and see. Looks like the potential for a nt cyclone in 7 to 10 days with the arrival of the mjo

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