Surge: Romney Leads In All 11 Swing S...

Surge: Romney Leads In All 11 Swing States

There are 196 comments on the Breitbart.com story from Oct 9, 2012, titled Surge: Romney Leads In All 11 Swing States. In it, Breitbart.com reports that:

On top of all the other magic he works, Scott Rasmussen also conducts a daily poll of the eleven swing states won by Obama in 2008 and considered competitive today.

Join the discussion below, or Read more at Breitbart.com.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#162 Oct 28, 2012
downhill246 wrote:
The Bickers-Berry Model Shows Mitt Romney Winning with 320 Electoral Votes to Obama’s 218
Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry, of the University of Colorado, have a system for predicting the Electoral College outcomes of presidential races. Their model has accurately forecast the winner of every presidential race since 1980. According to an article published by UC-Boulder, they even got the Perot-flavored election of 1992, and the Bush-Gore photo finish in 2000, right.
This year, the Bickers-Berry model shows Mitt Romney winning with 320 electoral votes to Obama’s 218, with a 20-vote margin of error. A popular vote margin of 53-47 percent in Romney’s favor is predicted.
://www.humanevents.com/2012/08 /23/electoral-college-model-pr edicts-big-romney-win/
So does the Rove/Blackwell Model. Cept the guy that rigs the machines dies in a plane crash.

King Lincoln Bronzeville Neighborhood Association v. Blackwell moritzlaw.osu.edu/electionlaw/litigation/klbn... - Similarto King Lincoln Bronzeville Neighborhood Association v. Blackwell
Blackwell. Case Information. Date Filed: August 31, 2006. State: Ohio ... District Court Documents. Complaint PDF .... Rove subpoena; Attachment 2 PDF ...

Rove Attack bushstole04.com/hackingelections/voter_suppre...
Bush/Rove's New Ohio Attack is About Revenge, Intimidation and Contempt for ... his moral legacy has been defined by the GOP's new attack on Ohio's 2004 ... that the laws guaranteeing the public's right to see electoral documents be honored.... GOP-dominated Ohio court system, Blackwell refused to testify openly about ...

Michael Connell - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Connell - Similarto Michael Connell - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
... have identified in our King Lincoln case in federal court in Columbus, Ohio,... At the time, Blackwell was also chairman of the Bush-Cheney 2004 ... Connell refused to testify or to produce documents relating to the system used in the 2004 and ... ohio-news/127-rove-threat-to-b lackmail-gop-it-mastermind-tri ggers- immunity ...

Dead Men Do Tell Tales (Of Rigged Elections)« JONATHAN TURLEY jonathanturley.org/2011/07/26/dead-men-do-tel...
Jul 26, 2011 ... Blackwell is an ongoing civil case to decide if the the Ohio Secretary of State at the ... The vote at the heart of the issue is the 2004 Presidential election where,... New filings include a revealing deposition of the late Michael Connell.... for the Bush family and their personal minister of propaganda, Karl Rove.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#163 Oct 28, 2012
Nate Silver considers ALL the Polls and gets an Average from those Polls.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ - Similarto Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
1 hour ago ... FiveThirtyEight - Nate Silver\'s Political Calculus ... By NATE SILVER ..... which this blog often endorsed, is that it represented a competition ...

Nate Silver Oct. 24 Oct. 25: The State of the States Democrats' Odds of Retaining Oct. 16: Can Polls Exaggerate ... Instant Reaction Polls Show ... Amid Volatile Polling, Keep an ... In Wisconsin, Walker is likely to
xxxrayted

Brook Park, OH

#165 Oct 28, 2012
downhill246 wrote:
The Bickers-Berry Model Shows Mitt Romney Winning with 320 Electoral Votes to Obama’s 218
Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry, of the University of Colorado, have a system for predicting the Electoral College outcomes of presidential races. Their model has accurately forecast the winner of every presidential race since 1980. According to an article published by UC-Boulder, they even got the Perot-flavored election of 1992, and the Bush-Gore photo finish in 2000, right.
This year, the Bickers-Berry model shows Mitt Romney winning with 320 electoral votes to Obama’s 218, with a 20-vote margin of error. A popular vote margin of 53-47 percent in Romney’s favor is predicted.
://www.humanevents.com/2012/08 /23/electoral-college-model-pr edicts-big-romney-win/
The vote narrows down to likely voters. DumBama loses in that category. Pollsters can ask anything they like, but if voters are not going to vote anyway, then the poll models are moot--especially those who give Democrats a plus 9 (or anything) advantage.

Republicans are energized more than ever; not because of Romney, but because it's a chance to get rid of DumBama. After the election, look for accusations how Republicans fixed the election just like the Bush years.

Since: Oct 12

Mississauga, Canada

#166 Oct 28, 2012
xxxrayted wrote:
<quoted text>
The vote narrows down to likely voters. DumBama loses in that category. Pollsters can ask anything they like, but if voters are not going to vote anyway, then the poll models are moot--especially those who give Democrats a plus 9 (or anything) advantage.
Republicans are energized more than ever; not because of Romney, but because it's a chance to get rid of DumBama. After the election, look for accusations how Republicans fixed the election just like the Bush years.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/ business/economy/romneys-bain- capital-invested-in-companies- that-moved-jobs-overseas/2012/ 06/21/gJQAsD9ptV_story.html

I agree, a certain group of people are more energized than ever.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/econom...

http://truth-out.org/progressivepicks/item/12...

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#167 Oct 28, 2012
Bocado wrote:
Hey, did quake affect where you are?

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#168 Oct 28, 2012
xxxrayted wrote:
<quoted text>
The vote narrows down to likely voters. DumBama loses in that category. Pollsters can ask anything they like, but if voters are not going to vote anyway, then the poll models are moot--especially those who give Democrats a plus 9 (or anything) advantage.
Republicans are energized more than ever; not because of Romney, but because it's a chance to get rid of DumBama. After the election, look for accusations how Republicans fixed the election just like the Bush years.
PSSST. I did a phone poll the other day and the only choices were "how likely are you to vote" if election were held today, who would you voter for.
No questions about are you registered, did you already vote.
Last Poll said it was 'Sun View or Sun Something" Polling. Then they asked about gender, race, age, income, num of persons in home, education, describe yourself as D R or I, favorable or non favorable opinion about the candidates, etc.
I'm not waiting till after election. I see it right now Ray. Did you not hear about the OH Court case and Rove and Blackwell and the Dead Election rigging Pilot?

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#169 Oct 28, 2012
Today Public Policy Polling released three polls this evening, all of them bearing good news for the home team. But it's even better than that. In PPP's last 8 swing state polls, in 8 different states, Team Obama has gained over their previous poll.

Same state, same polling organization, same polling methodology, 8 straight increases. Those increases, by the way, range from 1 to 4 points and an average of 2.4 points. In any one case you could explain the increase by random fluctuation. But 8 straight in 8 different states? What are the odds?

If you had a coin with Obama on one side and Romney on the other, what are the odds it would come up Obama 8 straight times? That would 0.5 to power of 8 or less than 1%. To be exact, 0.39%.

It's not random. Here are the details:

Oct. 28, Ohio 51-47 Obama (from 49-48 a week prior)
Oct. 28, Florida 49-48 Obama (from 48-49 Romney two weeks ago)
Oct. 28, NH 49-47 Obama (from 48-49 Romney last week)
Oct. 25, CO 51-47 Obama (from 50-47 last week)
Oct. 25, NC 48-48 Obama (from 47-49 a week and a half prior)
Oct. 25, IA 49-47 Obama (from 49-48 a week ago)
Oct. 25, WI 51-45 Obama (from 49-47 three weeks prior)
Oct. 25, VA 51-46 Obama (from 49-47 last week)

Pretty stunning really.

Now, why do the swing states look good for Obama but the national polls are tied at best? For me, it's not a mystery. The swing states have been inundated with TV ads for 6 months and the other states have not. Absent any TV ads anywhere, Romney would be winning due to a sluggish economy mostly. But the Obama ads, especially in the summer have been devastating to Romney. He was simply disqualified in a lot of swing states voters' minds before the conventions and debates ever started. If the Obama folks blanketed those ads coast to coast you'd be seeing a national poll lead. But, as you would expect from Obama/Axelrod/Messina and company, resources are being targeted exactly where they are needed and not where they would be superfluous or inefficient.

Since: Mar 12

Location hidden

#170 Oct 29, 2012
Shame on this administration weakening America!
downhill246

Delray Beach, FL

#171 Oct 29, 2012
Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry, of the University of Colorado, have a system for predicting the Electoral College outcomes of presidential races. Their model has accurately forecast the winner of every presidential race since 1980. According to an article published by UC-Boulder, they even got the Perot-flavored election of 1992, and the Bush-Gore photo finish in 2000, right.

This year, the Bickers-Berry model shows Mitt Romney winning with 320 electoral votes to Obama’s 218, with a 20-vote margin of error. A popular vote margin of 53-47 percent in Romney’s favor is predicted.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#172 Oct 29, 2012
Tagg may soon be a prison bitch. ;-0

Tagg Romney Buys HART Intercivic, Voting Machine Company For ... christwire.org/2012/10/tagg-romney-buys-hart-... ...
Oct 22, 2012 ... Barack Obama's constant lies and mean political ad campaign has tricked enough Americans to make this race close, especially in swing ...
Pro-Romney Firm's Purchase Of Voting Machine Company Raises ... www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/23/pro-romney-... ...
6 days ago... nominee Mitt Romney bought the third-largest voting machine company in the ... Apprehension that Romney supporters could be literally buying votes has been ... On Tagg Romney's voting machines - FreakOutNation - Yes ...
Growing Up Romney: Mitt, Tagg, And The Romney ... www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/19/tagg-romney...
Oct 19, 2012 ... So, Tagg buys voting machines and puts them in Ohio. There. That was easy. Izjezted: Tagg embodies the values of Mitt Romney. When you ...

[ More results from www.huffingtonpost.com ]
Tagg Romney and Romney Family Bought Voting Machines through ... current.com/community/93934232_tagg-romney-an... -...
Oct 19, 2012 ... These machines are notoriously flippable, hackable and without printout for verification. They must be stopped beore Nov 6.
WTF? Tagg Romney Is Now Proud Owner Of Ohio's Voting Machines www.addictinginfo.org/2012/10/19/wtf-tagg-rom... ...
Oct 19, 2012 ... WTF? Tagg Romney Is Now Proud Owner Of Ohio's Voting Machines ... After all, if you can't buy the election then simply just steal it. From an ...

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#173 Oct 29, 2012
downhill246 wrote:
Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry, of the University of Colorado, have a system for predicting the Electoral College outcomes of presidential races. Their model has accurately forecast the winner of every presidential race since 1980. According to an article published by UC-Boulder, they even got the Perot-flavored election of 1992, and the Bush-Gore photo finish in 2000, right.
This year, the Bickers-Berry model shows Mitt Romney winning with 320 electoral votes to Obama’s 218, with a 20-vote margin of error. A popular vote margin of 53-47 percent in Romney’s favor is predicted.

Why Obama Will Win

Daily Beast - 3 days ago
As Mitt Romney's 'surge' erodes, the Republican nominee's campaign faces reality. Across the swing states, the polls show the president holds the ... Similarly, in the new PPP data, he is five points up in Virginia with 51 ...

Polling Storm Makes Waves as Sandy Bears Down

U.S. News & World Report (blog)
Latest Electoral College Map Shows North Carolina Is a Swing State Again, Lessons for Virginia and Florida?

Latinos PostDaily Kos: PPP Confirms Late Obama Surge in Swing States www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/28/1151872/-PP... ...
21 hours ago ... In PPP's last 8 swing state polls, in 8 different states, Team Obama .... Reuters/ Ipso shows a small surge for Obama in the national numbers.
Cat74

United States

#174 Oct 29, 2012
A partisan Democrat engaged me in a discussion about how Romney is lying about GM being in China. She said Romney lied, so I Googled Dan AkersonCEO/china, and what do you know? Obama's GM opened 11 manufactruing plants in China while our people are unemployed. They are so gullible they believe every word their cultist leaders tell them, and never take the time to check it. And steal votes? My God they are saying 60% of the early voters in Ohio voted for Obama. Of course they did.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#175 Oct 29, 2012
downhill246 wrote:
Professors Ken Bickers and Michael Berry, of the University of Colorado, have a system for predicting the Electoral College outcomes of presidential races. Their model has accurately forecast the winner of every presidential race since 1980. According to an article published by UC-Boulder, they even got the Perot-flavored election of 1992, and the Bush-Gore photo finish in 2000, right.
This year, the Bickers-Berry model shows Mitt Romney winning with 320 electoral votes to Obama’s 218, with a 20-vote margin of error. A popular vote margin of 53-47 percent in Romney’s favor is predicted.
When asked for proof of their past sucessful predictions, Bickers-Berry failed to produce proof.??
xxxrayted

Brook Park, OH

#176 Oct 29, 2012
Cousin DuPrees Cousin wrote:
<quoted text>
When asked for proof of their past sucessful predictions, Bickers-Berry failed to produce proof.??
All polls are pretty much moot given the weather and the destruction it creates. Nobody knows how this will affect the election results. I heard on the radio that this will effect 50 million people. That's one-sixth of our population. All bets are off at this point.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#178 Oct 29, 2012
I meant Politics aside. Also heard 2 Mil w/out power.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#179 Oct 29, 2012
Cat74 wrote:
A partisan Democrat engaged me in a discussion about how Romney is lying about GM being in China. She said Romney lied, so I Googled Dan AkersonCEO/china, and what do you know? Obama's GM opened 11 manufactruing plants in China while our people are unemployed. They are so gullible they believe every word their cultist leaders tell them, and never take the time to check it. And steal votes? My God they are saying 60% of the early voters in Ohio voted for Obama. Of course they did.
More like 67% of early votes. GM and Chrysler expanded in China, because it is cheaper to MAKE the cars there that they SELL there due to Tarriffs and Tax.
That is all explained in the statement that Jeep gave refuting Romneys claim that they are moving all operations to China.
Not rocket science. Just another Romney lie. We fully expect him to lie approx every 10 to 15 minutes.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#180 Oct 29, 2012
Cousin DuPrees Cousin wrote:
Tagg may soon be a prison bitch. ;-0
Tagg Romney Buys HART Intercivic, Voting Machine Company For ... christwire.org/2012/10/tagg-romney-buys-hart-... ...
Oct 22, 2012 ... Barack Obama's constant lies and mean political ad campaign has tricked enough Americans to make this race close, especially in swing ...
Pro-Romney Firm's Purchase Of Voting Machine Company Raises ... www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/23/pro-romney-... ...
6 days ago... nominee Mitt Romney bought the third-largest voting machine company in the ... Apprehension that Romney supporters could be literally buying votes has been ... On Tagg Romney's voting machines - FreakOutNation - Yes ...
Growing Up Romney: Mitt, Tagg, And The Romney ... www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/19/tagg-romney...
Oct 19, 2012 ... So, Tagg buys voting machines and puts them in Ohio. There. That was easy. Izjezted: Tagg embodies the values of Mitt Romney. When you ...
[ More results from www.huffingtonpost.com ]
Tagg Romney and Romney Family Bought Voting Machines through ... current.com/community/93934232_tagg-romney-an... -...
Oct 19, 2012 ... These machines are notoriously flippable, hackable and without printout for verification. They must be stopped beore Nov 6.
WTF? Tagg Romney Is Now Proud Owner Of Ohio's Voting Machines www.addictinginfo.org/2012/10/19/wtf-tagg-rom... ...
Oct 19, 2012 ... WTF? Tagg Romney Is Now Proud Owner Of Ohio's Voting Machines ... After all, if you can't buy the election then simply just steal it. From an ...
Did someone really judge this post, nuts, spam and clueless? Why else would you buy voting machines if your Daddy is running for Prez? Duh?
Another Blog post

Sandown, NH

#181 Oct 29, 2012
Donate for HIGHEST SEO RANKING for undecided Voters here>> Easy to do.. www.MittRomneyApps.com
October 29, 2012, 4:24 pm Comment by Stanley Krol CEO

App Snapshot: Romney’s Move to the Middle and What Happens After Jan. 20

By SARAH WHEATON

The presidential candidates suspended their campaign activities on Monday because of the major Atlantic storm barreling into the East Coast. Voters can take advantage of the down time to examine the candidates’ statements — in the past and about the future — a bit more closely. In any weather, we’re collecting the most important politics news in the Election 2012 app.

----------

THE NARRATIVE
The Boston Globe tracks how Mitt Romney’s tone has changed since the Republican primary, and The Los Angeles Times looks at how he has used his running mate, Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin.

Romney’s Shift to the Middle
Here are statements Mr. Romney has made recently, contrasted with statements he made earlier in the election contest.(Globe subscription not required.)(The Boston Globe)

As Romney Edges Toward Moderation, Ryan Takes a Lower Profile
As Mr. Romney highlights moderate views, care is taken to ensure he isn’t upstaged by his conservative running mate.(The Los Angeles Times)

----------

AFTER JAN. 20
Mr. Romney’s closing argument paints a picture of his “day one” in office, and President Obama said his “first order of business” in a second term would be the deficit.

Romney’s Closing Argument a Picture of ‘Day One’
Mr. Romney’s final message will focus on tasks he hopes to take on during his first day in office if elected; all of the points relate to the economy, according to an outline.(CNN)

Obama Says ‘First Order of Business’ in Second Term Would Be Deficit
In an interview, Mr. Obama listed deficit reduction, immigration reform, education, and infrastructure as top priorities that he would tackle if he were re-elected.(The Hill)

.

E-mail
Share
Print

The Caucus

----------

Previous Post Obama Ad Criticizes Romney Campaign Over Bailout Ad
Next Post With Obama Tending to Storm, Clinton Campaigns for Him in Florida
.

No Comments

Share your thoughts.
.

All
.

Newest

Write a Comment
.

No Comments

To comment, reply or recommend please

.

.

.

.

.
...
Log In or Create An Account.»



Ads by Google

what's this?


Mitt Romney Official Site
Romney Will Cut, Cap, & Balance The Federal Budget. Donate $8 Now!
www.MittRomney.com/Donate
Cat74

United States

#182 Oct 29, 2012
Well, guess what? Americans are not going to give China one of our Auto companies, and then turn around and buy their cars. We will buy Ford, or foreign, and let GM go under.

Since: Feb 12

Location hidden

#183 Oct 29, 2012
Cat74 wrote:
A partisan Democrat engaged me in a discussion about how Romney is lying about GM being in China. She said Romney lied, so I Googled Dan AkersonCEO/china, and what do you know? Obama's GM opened 11 manufactruing plants in China while our people are unemployed. They are so gullible they believe every word their cultist leaders tell them, and never take the time to check it. And steal votes? My God they are saying 60% of the early voters in Ohio voted for Obama. Of course they did.
Can't you read? Read the statement refuting Rmoneys' claims put out by Chrysler. You gonna believe the people who run Jeep or the known, proven liar?

Tell me when this thread is updated:

Subscribe Now Add to my Tracker

Add your comments below

Characters left: 4000

Please note by submitting this form you acknowledge that you have read the Terms of Service and the comment you are posting is in compliance with such terms. Be polite. Inappropriate posts may be removed by the moderator. Send us your feedback.

Top Stories Discussions

Title Updated Last By Comments
News Plurality of Americans think Trump is failing (Mar '17) 15 min Bonho 71,316
How is it possible that God has always existed?? 2 hr Doctor REALITY 2
James Comey's conflicted TWO FACES 2 hr Doctor REALITY 64
Ifitdress.com reviews (Oct '12) 2 hr lac 16
Why I’m no longer a Christian (Jul '08) 2 hr Tellthetruth 447,350
Fischbach army depot-NATO site 67 (Mar '07) 3 hr Gene Ricker 483
Prove there's a god. (Mar '08) 7 hr Tellthetruth 994,986
News Roman Catholic church only true church, says Va... (Jul '07) 9 hr FathrFlanagan Bug... 699,333