UK's Met Office Sees 2013 as Likely t...

UK's Met Office Sees 2013 as Likely to be One of Warmest on Record

There are 17 comments on the Insurance Journal West story from Dec 21, 2012, titled UK's Met Office Sees 2013 as Likely to be One of Warmest on Record. In it, Insurance Journal West reports that:

Global temperatures are forecast to be 0.57 degrees [1.026A F] above the long-term average next year, making 2013 one of the warmest years on record, Britain's Met Office, the UK's national weather service, said on Thursday.

Join the discussion below, or Read more at Insurance Journal West.

SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

#1 Dec 21, 2012
Hear hear. I could not make this prediction on my own. Thankfully, UK's Met office is immensely qualified for the job.
litesong

Everett, WA

#2 Dec 21, 2012
Here's some cold weather news, that if read between the lines, means no good to the Earth's warming temperatures as the Arctic sea ice air conditioning is used up:
//////////
\\\\\\\\\\
Arctic sea ice extent is 11,544,531 km2 (December 19, 2012), the day's gain, S. Carolina-sized. Present temperatures on Arctic Canadian islands, mainland, & Siberia are commonly to minus mid-thirties degC & less. Average temperatures above the 80th parallel is -28degC.

The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for 12 weeks! Arctic Ocean warmth is & will continue to keep Arctic sea ice thinner through the coming winter & even spring. As of December, Arctic sea ice VOLUME is ~13% lower than any other set of years of Arctic sea ice monthly VOLUME. Average Arctic sea ice VOLUME during December for the period 1980-89, was ~20 thousand km3. Present December 2012 sea ice VOLUME is 9600 km3. The Arctic sea ice loss has been an uncontrolled plummet, desired by unscientific AGW deniers, who mostly have no or little mathematical or science background.
//////////
litesong continues:
Presently, Arctic sea ice extent is 11,549,688 km2 (December 20, 2012), the day's miserly gain, only Connecticut-sized. Present temperatures on Arctic Canadian islands, the mainland & Siberia, are to the minus mid-thirties degC & less, with cold Dawson, Canada chattering down to -47degC(-53degF)! Generally normal, some temperatures are spottily warm (S. Greenland at 9degC, 48degF), accounting for cold Arctic spillage towards Canada & the U.S.

Eastern Baffin Bay along Greenland remains thinly clear!!!!!! Temperatures across Baffin Bay dramatically drop, east to west. Due to solar heats absorbed into the shallow waters of Hudson Bay, the Bay has resisted icing. With past temperatures as low as -40 degC, due to cold spillage from the North Pole, the Bay has iced over, except for the small southeast, which now has enlarged for a time.

Long resisting the Arctic Ice Pack, Chief Joseph Land is now widely encircled by Arctic Ice Pack, due to 24/7 hours of darkness & a shifting but long enduring vortex, that moved cold Arctic sea water southward to the islands. However, with a vortex near by, a patch of fairly large ocean water opened up within the encirclement, & continued for 4 days. During my reports, a vortex has generally led to Arctic Pack Ice advancement. In this case, it appears to be the opposite. However, the patch has iced over again. Svalbard, also in winter darkness 24/7, is still clear of the Ice Pack, as is Novaya Zemlya,!!!!!!!!!

A detail noted ~two months ago, is a raggy taggy developing edge along a part of the semi-circle Ice Pack, possibly NOT coincidental with the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS (plus?) OF SQUARE KILOMETERS, of waters north of Alaska & Siberia that are VASTLY CLEAR. Might the raggy taggy edge indicate huge turbulence & currents in this largest(ever?) ice free, & resulting southerly-directed heat stratified Arctic waters? I wonder if there might develop more raggy taggy edging, enough to form a swirl pattern?
Days later, near the raggy taggy Ice Pack, 3 tiny pixel ice floes(arced?) developed, separated from the Arctic ice pack toward southerly directions. A day later, the number of ice floes increased to 8 & indeed they formed an ARC. Pretty sure they represent a large scale vortex in open Arctic water!
Further data, showed that the vortex was true!

The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for 12 weeks & presently anywhere above the 67th parallel, now shrouding the Arctic with darkness for a good portion of the year! The sun is near its farthest position to the south, due to the tilt of the Earth & present orbital position!
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#3 Dec 21, 2012
Remember what Mr. Muller said.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

#4 Dec 22, 2012
PHD wrote:
Remember what Mr. Muller said.
So you forgot what he said.
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#5 Dec 22, 2012
SpaceBlues wrote:
<quoted text>So you forgot what he said.
No, just remember what Mr. Muller said.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

#6 Dec 22, 2012
PHD wrote:
<quoted text>No, just remember what Mr. Muller said.
http://www.google.com/search?q =remember+what+Mr.+Muller+said &rls=com.microsoft:en-us:I E-Address&ie=UTF-8&oe= UTF-8&sourceid=ie7&rlz =1I7ADFA_enUS423
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#7 Dec 23, 2012
SpaceBlues wrote:
Nothing to get spaced out about. Calm down just remember what Mr. Muller said.
Fun Facts

Huntsville, AL

#8 Dec 23, 2012
Oh well, just ask the Brits how often the Met Office has been right about the forecasts of recent years.

They can't get it right for a single country, I doubt they'll do much better for the entire globe.

Since: Apr 08

"the green troll"

#9 Dec 23, 2012
Fun Facts wrote:
Oh well, just ask the Brits how often the Met Office has been right about the forecasts of recent years.
They can't get it right for a single country, I doubt they'll do much better for the entire globe.
A lot more often than deniers would have you think. Long range weather forecasts, based on the same climate models, are now very useful.
One area where 2012 wins hands down over 1962 is weather forecasting. Michael Fish, who began working at the Met Office six weeks before the Big Freeze struck, says forecasts were of limited use back then.

"A four or five day forecast now is as accurate as a 24 hour forecast was back then. A 10-day forecast was absolutely impossible in those days."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20785406

Deniers like fun farts like to argue that because we don't know everything, we know nothing. This is because they don't want to acknowledge how ignorant their ideology-based science-rejectionism is.
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#10 Dec 23, 2012
Nothing to get spaced out about. Calm down just remember what Mr. Muller said.
litesong

Everett, WA

#11 Dec 24, 2012
phdudd wrote:
....... remember what Mr. Muller said.
We know what you DON'T say, & that is anything important.
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#12 Dec 24, 2012
litesout wrote:
<quoted text>
We know what you DON'T say, & that is anything important.
We know what you represent a pin head.
Fun Facts

Huntsville, AL

#13 Dec 25, 2012
Fair Game wrote:
<quoted text>
A lot more often than deniers would have you think. Long range weather forecasts, based on the same climate models, are now very useful.
<quoted text>
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-20785406
Deniers like fun farts like to argue that because we don't know everything, we know nothing. This is because they don't want to acknowledge how ignorant their ideology-based science-rejectionism is.
Say what?

It is comforting to know that in the last 50 years we have improved our ability to accurately forecast four to five days of weather. Better than the one day of 1962.

Since: Apr 08

"the green troll"

#14 Dec 25, 2012
Fun Facts wrote:
<quoted text>
Say what?
It is comforting to know that in the last 50 years we have improved our ability to accurately forecast four to five days of weather. Better than the one day of 1962.
Science has moved on in 50 years, old man; you haven' t.
PINKY-LEE

Irvington, NJ

#15 Dec 25, 2012
I FORECAST for the coming year 2013, that I will increase MY CARBON FOOTPRINT 100%.AND CONTINUE TO ENJOY LIFE. WARNING-WARNING TYPING IN CAP'S WILL CAUSE THE EARTH TO CRASH into THE SUN.
Northie

Spokane, WA

#16 Dec 25, 2012
Talk about an easy bet. No wonder none of the oil industry's professional shills will take the many high-stakes wagers against warming that scientific leaders have offered to make.

However, for you home-gaming suckers, Intrade provides your chance to put your money where your sizable mouths are. Put up or shut up.

http://supak.blogspot.com/2012/11/take-dirty-...
PHD

Cibolo, TX

#17 Dec 27, 2012
The Mid Western and North Eastern States arevlooking for that warm 2013.

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