Note the word *scientist*, imbecile.<quoted text>
OTTAWA (Reuters)- The Arctic is warming up so quickly that the region's sea ice cover in summer could vanish as early as 2013, decades earlier than some had predicted, a leading polar expert said on Thursday. Warwick Vincent, director of the Center for Northern Studies at Laval University in Quebec, said recent data on the ice cover "appear to be tracking the most pessimistic of the models", which call for an ice free summer in 2013.
This week, after reviewing his own new data, NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: "At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions."
Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss. Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007," the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC. "So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative."
Hansen and Wadhams agreed with the prediction and in fact promoted the prediction in public media, thus giving the prediction credence. Wadhams actually said this about Maslowski’s model giving the prediction even more credence:“Some models have not been taking proper account of the physical processes that go on," he commented. "The ice is thinning faster than it is shrinking; and some modellers have been assuming the ice was a rather thick slab.” "Wieslaw's model is more efficient because it works with data and it takes account of processes that happen internally in the ice." He cited the ice-albedo feedback effect in which open water receives more solar radiation, which in turn leads to additional warming and further melting. Professor Wadhams said the Arctic was now being set up for further ice loss in the coming years. "The implication is that this is not a cycle, not just a fluctuation. The loss this year will precondition the ice for the same thing to happen again next year, only worse.
And in 2012, Wadhams has now claimed the Arctic will be ice free by 2015/2016.
So again I ask, where is Skeptical Science lecturing any of these scientists with their “regression toward the mean” theory? I’m sure they will be out in 2015 lecturing the skeptics when the media reports a response to Wadhams’ 2015 prediction. I mean how dare the skeptics hold someone accountable to their predictions.
So you are the liar, claiming there was only one scientist that predicted a 2013 ice-free Arctic and calling me a liar by stating NONE of these scientists predicted an ice-free Arctic in 2013.
Hansen and Wadhams are agreeing with a prediction for 2016, imbecile.