Global Warming: Coast Guard tracks Arctic Ocean changes

Oct 4, 2012 | Posted by: roboblogger | Full story: Summit County Voice

For better or worse, the Arctic is changing fast, and even if greenhouse gas emissions dropped to zero tomorrow, those changes are likely to continue for decades, and perhaps centuries.

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1 - 17 of 17 Comments Last updated Mar 9, 2013
LessHypeMoreFact

Toronto, Canada

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#1
Oct 4, 2012
 

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Make that (at best estimate) millenia. But we can reduce the PEAK effect by acting NOW. And the peak level effect becomes a lot worse once you pass the 'safe area' of 2C or so.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

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#2
Oct 13, 2012
 

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The Seasonal Ice Zone Reconnaissance Surveys take repeated ocean, ice and atmospheric measurements in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, north and west of Alaska.

The ocean surface temperature can be 5 or 6 degrees warmer without ice. Because there’s no ice to block solar radiation, the layer of warmer water extends deeper and that affects circulation patterns and slows the growth of ice during the winter. Changes in the ocean surface temperatures can also have profound effect on the atmosphere and changes in the temperature, humidity and cloud cover can in turn affect how fast sea ice melts or grows.
litesong

Everett, WA

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#3
Oct 13, 2012
 

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My University of Washington works with the Coast Guard for an inexpensive program to deploy equipment that normally would take special ships &/or aircraft. Using ingenuity with Guard equipment, the Coast Guard gets bolstered data for their monitoring & rescue programs, & the UofW gets the ability to monitor Arctic conditions & sea ices.

All right!
PHD

Houston, TX

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#4
Oct 14, 2012
 

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litesong wrote:
My University of Washington works with the Coast Guard for an inexpensive program to deploy equipment that normally would take special ships &/or aircraft. Using ingenuity with Guard equipment, the Coast Guard gets bolstered data for their monitoring & rescue programs, & the UofW gets the ability to monitor Arctic conditions & sea ices.
All right!
Yes! Now can you get them to study the dirtlings issue with useless babble and so on with an intense study on the Less than a Box of Rocks AKA tina?
litesong

Everett, WA

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#6
Oct 23, 2012
 

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litesong wrote:
Arctic sea ice, either by satellite or submarine data, is above the 2007 and 2011 Arctic sea ice extent AND, a month later than 'normal', the sea ice average for the decades of 2000's AND THE 1990's, at 6,610,469 km2 (October 21, 2012), daily sea ice extent increase rate reduced to Missouri-sized. The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for one month plus, temperatures above the 80th parallel, lower than the last two plus weeks of dates for 2007 & other recent years, & temperatures on landforms surrounding the Arctic Ocean as low as -24 degC. Even Dawson, Canada, south of the Arctic Circle & site of a heatwave 3 weeks ago, where temperatures were 22+degC, is presently -15degC! Some of Dawson's cold moved to Fairbanks at -19degC.
Arctic Ocean warmth is & will continue to keep Arctic sea ice thinner through the coming winter & even spring. As of October 2, Arctic sea ice VOLUME is ~23% lower than any satellite recorded year AND indications of submarine-detected Arctic sea ice yearly VOLUME.
Yes, the Arctic sea ice VOLUME is disappearing, year to year, quicker than the Arctic sea ice extent.
//////////
litesong continues
Presently, Arctic sea ice extent is tied with 2007 AND 2011 sea ice extent for yesterday's date & is above the average minimum Arctic sea ice extent for the 2000's AND the 1990's, at 6,825,781 km2 (October 22, 2012), this day's increase by the size of Idaho. All areas of the Arctic Ice Pack advance southward. Temperatures above the 80th parallel average -16 degC, the past 2 plus weeks of temperatures below the same weeks of 2007 & other recent years. Present temperatures on landforms surrounding the Arctic Ocean, are way below freezing, numerous areas deepening into minus double digits AND THE EVER BROADENING SWATH OF CONTINUOUS SIBERIAN TEMPS RANGING FROM -22 TO -24 degC! Sea ice is greatly forming along 1200+ MILES of Siberian's north shores.
Arctic Ice Pack & sea ice is now connected to the Russian islands, altho Franz Joseph Land & Svalbard are still clear. Arctic Ice Pack is extending far south into the vast clear waters north of Alaska & Siberia. Huge sea ice floes strongly developed in the vast clear waters north of Siberia(due to broad double digit minus Siberian temps spilled from North Pole month-long darkness & vortex mixing breaking down stratified solar heated waters?) AND connected the Ice Pack to far eastern Siberia, truly a remarkable development!

A detail noted 13 days ago is a raggy taggy developing edge along a part of the semi-circle, possibly NOT coincidental with the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS (plus?) OF SQUARE KILOMETERS, of waters north of Alaska & Siberia that are VASTLY CLEAR. Might the raggy taggy edge indicate huge turbulence & currents in this largest(ever?) ice free, & resulting southerly-directed heat stratified Arctic waters? I wonder if there might develop more raggy taggy edging, enough to form a swirl pattern?
Twelve days ago, noted near the raggy taggy ice pack, have developed 3 tiny pixel ice floes(arced?), separated from the Arctic ice pack toward southerly directions. Eleven days ago, the number of ice floes increased to 8 & indeed they formed an ARC. Pretty sure they represent a large scale vortex in open Arctic water! Further data, show that the vortex is true!

The east end of Northwest Passage is icing, with temperatures deep in the double digit minus numbers. Icing has occurred in passages all the way to Hudson Bay.

Downwelling solar heats, in unusual clear Arctic Ocean & seas, normally sea ice covered in decades past, which have strongly transported extra solar energy to continental shelf, sea & Ocean depths for 4 months, is nearly over. The sun is now a full 10+degrees below the horizon as seen from the North Pole. Only sea icing southern Arctic seas(Alaska not icing) get a skimming from the sun for a few hours a day, which is only single digit degrees off the horizon, at most!
litesong

Everett, WA

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#7
Oct 24, 2012
 

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litesong wrote:
Arctic sea ice, either by satellite or submarine data, is above the 2007 and 2011 Arctic sea ice extent AND, a month later than 'normal', the sea ice average for the decades of 2000's AND THE 1990's, at 6,825,781 km2 (October 22, 2012), this day's increase, the size of Idaho. The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for one month plus, temperatures above the 80th parallel, lower than the last two plus weeks of dates for 2007 & other recent years, & temperatures on landforms surrounding the Arctic Ocean as low as -26 degC. Even Dawson, Canada, south of the Arctic Circle & site of a heatwave 4 weeks ago, where temperatures were 22+degC, is presently -24degC, Fairbanks at -26degC.
Arctic Ocean warmth is & will continue to keep Arctic sea ice thinner through the coming winter & even spring. As of October 2, Arctic sea ice VOLUME is ~23% lower than any satellite recorded year AND indications of submarine-detected Arctic sea ice yearly VOLUME.
Yes, the Arctic sea ice VOLUME is disappearing, year to year, quicker than the Arctic sea ice extent.
//////////
litesong continues
Presently, Arctic sea ice extent is tied with 2007 AND 2011 sea ice extent for yesterday's date & is above the average minimum Arctic sea ice extent for the 2000's AND the 1990's, at 6,993,906 km2 (October 23, 2012), this day's increase, the size of Wisconsin. All areas of the Arctic Ice Pack advance southward. Temperatures above the 80th parallel average -16 degC, the past 3 weeks of temperatures below the same weeks of 2007 & other recent years. Present temperatures on landforms surrounding the Arctic Ocean, are way below freezing, numerous areas deepening into minus double digits AND THE EVER SOLIDLY BROADENING SWATH OF CONTINUOUS SIBERIAN TEMPS RANGING FROM -20 TO -26 degC! Sea ice is VASTLY forming along 1200+ MILES of Siberia's north shores.
Arctic Ice Pack & sea ice is now connected to the Russian islands, altho Franz Joseph Land & Svalbard are still clear. Arctic Ice Pack is extending far south into the vast clear waters north of Alaska & Siberia. Huge sea ice floes strongly developed in the vast clear waters north of Siberia(due to broad double digit minus Siberian temps spilled from North Pole month+ darkness & vortex mixing breaking down stratified solar heated waters?) AND connected the Ice Pack to far eastern Siberia, truly a remarkable development!

A detail noted 14 days ago is a raggy taggy developing edge along a part of the semi-circle, possibly NOT coincidental with the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS (plus?) OF SQUARE KILOMETERS, of waters north of Alaska & Siberia that are VASTLY CLEAR. Might the raggy taggy edge indicate huge turbulence & currents in this largest(ever?) ice free, & resulting southerly-directed heat stratified Arctic waters? I wonder if there might develop more raggy taggy edging, enough to form a swirl pattern?
Thirteen days ago, noted near the raggy taggy ice pack, have developed 3 tiny pixel ice floes(arced?), separated from the Arctic ice pack toward southerly directions. Twelve days ago, the number of ice floes increased to 8 & indeed they formed an ARC. Pretty sure they represent a large scale vortex in open Arctic water!

Further data, show that the vortex is true!

The east end of Northwest Passage is icing, with temperatures deep in the double digit minus numbers. Icing has occurred in many passages all the way to Hudson Bay.
Downwelling solar heats, in unusual clear Arctic Ocean & seas, normally sea ice covered in decades past, which have strongly transported extra solar energy to continental shelf, sea & Ocean depths for 4 months, is nearly over. The sun is now a full 11+degrees below the horizon as seen from the North Pole. Only sea icing southern Arctic seas(Alaska not icing) get a skimming from the sun for a few hours a day, which is only single digit degrees off the horizon, at most!
litesong

Everett, WA

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#8
Dec 26, 2012
 

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Repeat Treat AND........
\\\\\\\\\
litesong wrote:
My University of Washington works with the Coast Guard for an inexpensive program to deploy equipment that normally would take special ships &/or aircraft. Using ingenuity with Guard equipment, the Coast Guard gets bolstered data for their monitoring & rescue programs, & the UofW gets the ability to monitor Arctic conditions & sea ices.
All right!
/////////
Arctic sea ice extent is 11,676,875 km2 (December 24, 2012), the day's gain, Wisconsin-sized. Present temperatures on Arctic Canadian islands, mainland, & Siberia are commonly to minus mid-thirties degC & less. Average temperature above the 80th parallel continues to rise to -24degC.

The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for 3+months! Arctic Ocean warmth is & will continue to keep Arctic sea ice thinner through the coming winter & even spring. As of December, Arctic sea ice VOLUME is ~13% lower than any other set of years of Arctic sea ice monthly VOLUME. Average Arctic sea ice VOLUME during December for the period 1980-89, was ~20 thousand km3. Present December 2012 sea ice VOLUME is 9600 km3. The Arctic sea ice loss has been an uncontrolled plummet, desired by unscientific AGW deniers, who mostly have no or little mathematical or science background.
//////////
litesong continues:
Presently, with recent previous gains mostly small state sized, this date 11,713,594 km2 (December 25, 2012), the day's gain, somewhat more than Maryland. Much of the remaining Hudson's Bay iced over. Present temperatures on Arctic Canadian islands, the mainland & Siberia, are to the minus mid-thirties degC & less.

Eastern Baffin Bay along Greenland remains thinly clear!!!!!! Temperatures across Baffin Bay dramatically drop, east to west. Due to solar heats absorbed into the shallow waters of Hudson Bay, the Bay has resisted icing. Due to cold spillage from the North Pole, the Bay has iced over, except for a tiny southeast part.

Long resisting the Arctic Ice Pack, Chief Joseph Land is now widely encircled by Arctic Ice Pack, due to 24/7 hours of darkness & a shifting but long enduring vortex, that moved cold Arctic sea water southward to the islands. However, with a vortex near by, a patch of fairly large ocean water opened up within the encirclement, & continued for 4 days. During my reports, a vortex has generally led to Arctic Pack Ice advancement. In this case, it appears to be the opposite. However, the patch has iced over again. Svalbard, also in winter darkness 24/7, is still clear of the Ice Pack, as is Novaya Zemlya,!!!!!!!!!

A detail noted ~two+ months ago, is a raggy taggy developing edge along a part of the semi-circle Ice Pack, possibly NOT coincidental with the HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS (plus?) OF SQUARE KILOMETERS, of waters north of Alaska & Siberia that are VASTLY CLEAR. Might the raggy taggy edge indicate huge turbulence & currents in this largest(ever?) ice free, & resulting southerly-directed heat stratified Arctic waters? I wonder if there might develop more raggy taggy edging, enough to form a swirl pattern?
Days later, near the raggy taggy Ice Pack, 3 tiny pixel ice floes(arced?) developed, separated from the Arctic ice pack toward southerly directions. A day later, the number of ice floes increased to 8 & indeed they formed an ARC. Pretty sure they represent a large scale vortex in open Arctic water!
Further data, showed that the vortex was true!

The sun has been unseen from the North Pole for 3+months & presently anywhere above the 67th parallel, now shrouding the Arctic with darkness for a good portion of the year! The sun is at its farthest position to the south, due to the tilt of the Earth & present orbital position!
PHD

Bertram, TX

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#9
Dec 27, 2012
 

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You forgot what Mr. Muller said.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

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Dec 31, 2012
 

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More tracking causes more pollution as well. Cut back pollution intentionally.
PHD

Bertram, TX

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Jan 8, 2013
 

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So stop tracking and cut your pollution back.
SpaceBlues

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#12
Feb 12, 2013
 

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Humans did it and are doing it:

http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/Human_Fi...
PHD

Bertram, TX

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#13
Feb 13, 2013
 

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SpaceBlues wrote:
Humans did it and are doing it:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/pics/Human_Fi...
There you have it folks the spaced out spacedoutblues got its crystal ball out and made another prediction.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

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#14
Feb 16, 2013
 
Haha the fake poster above lied again.
PHD

Bertram, TX

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#15
Feb 16, 2013
 

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SpaceBlues wrote:
Haha the fake poster above lied again.
"WOW" now were alike!!!
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

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Feb 16, 2013
 

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LessHypeMoreFact wrote:
Make that (at best estimate) millenia. But we can reduce the PEAK effect by acting NOW. And the peak level effect becomes a lot worse once you pass the 'safe area' of 2C or so.
Millennia?

There are still dangers - or penalties - in your safe area.
PHD

Bertram, TX

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#17
Feb 16, 2013
 

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Yes we are spaced out spacedout blues the same.
SpaceBlues

Houston, TX

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#18
Mar 9, 2013
 
SpaceBlues wrote:
<quoted text>Millennia?
There are still dangers - or penalties - in your safe area.
From the article..

What would serious steps entail?

According to the Meinshausen paper, up to 80 per cent of our known reserve of fossil fuels will have to stay in the ground.

“The carbon budget implied by the 2 C limit,” Jaccard wrote,“means that we cannot be making new investments that expand the carbon polluting infrastructure.

“This means no expansion of oilsands, no new pipelines (like Keystone and Northern Gateway) and no expansion of coal mines and coal ports.

“This does not mean shutting down the oilsands. It does not mean shutting coal mines. These will continue to operate for decades. But you cannot be expanding carbon polluting production and also prevent 2 C or even 4 C temperature increase. The industry knows this, but prefers its ads telling us about the jobs and revenue from expanding the polluting infrastructure.”

But the remedies needed, Rees suggested, might have to be even more draconian than that.

“Even the International Energy Agency and the World Bank have recently conceded that even if present agreed-upon policies were implemented, the world is likely headed to four Celsius degrees warming by the end of the century. This would render much of the most heavily populated parts of the earth uninhabitable ...”

Read more: http://www.vancouversun.com/technology/Pete+M ...

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