Kentucky Derby is hard to handicap
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#1 May 3, 2012
with a recent 96 Beyer rating i doubt it. Its the derby so if the horse gets the trip and the better ones dont it can happen.
Daddy nose best
concern with creative he tends to drift in straightaway
#2 May 4, 2012
Expect Bode to flop after that steller Beyer of 108, he is a horse not a machine.
#3 May 4, 2012
Alpha is the bargin with his odds. One of about 6 that can win this race, 25-1 or more?
#4 May 4, 2012
87% of the time that is not true playing the odds best $$$ for bet prob daddy nose best. Take a look at beyer rating of the past derby winners over the last 20 years avg beyer rating going into the derby was 108.
#5 May 4, 2012
Alpha only races good at aqu park. One race at CD didnt even hit the board and lost to 5 horses in the derby. I like the bernardini connecetion but i dont see him hitting the board. He is prob 7th best in this race. So yeah if he gets the trip but you can say with just about any horse. Race can be decided by the worst horse of them all the speed of Trinniberg he can run this 1/2 way in 45 sec. he may run a horse out of his game early.
#6 May 4, 2012
however i dont like tha fact of how lightly raced he is.
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