Comments (Page 4)
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I had a dream about a month ago....gas was $1.19 a gallon.
Geez---it seems so long ago |
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Joined: May 5, 2008 Comments: 60 |
Woooo! Go, people, GO! Keep on pumpin' the poison so you can get to Walmart for that jumbo pack of bottled water on sale for $5.99. |
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Hey all you Bush lovers,thank's for you're vote.We told you so, but you did not listen.Shame on you.How do you like the great leader Bush now???
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AOL |
AS A COLLECTOR OF ANTIQUE GAS PUMPS I WELCOME ALL OFFERS TO SELL THE OLD PUMPS...ANY SIZE.
EMAIL ME AT: Fdffbba@aol.com |
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No baby seals in this part of the world I'm 50ish miles from Buffalo.And tell Thermos their conversion is off. Not saying you are wrong just that I read whats on the bottom of the jug. |
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I didn't vote for Bush nor am I a Bush apologist, but I also don't hold him responsible for all of the world's ills as many of you people do. Please explain how Bush is responsible for high gas prices.(I assume that's what you mean by your rant.) |
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“The Second Coming of Jeebus” Joined: Jan 7, 2008 Comments: 11095 ISP: Chicago, IL |
Again, oil is 100% fungible. This really isn't difficult. It doesn't matter where we sell it. |
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Yes, oil is fungible. I get that. That's irrelevant to my point, though. Many people claim that we can reduce our dependency on foreign oil if the oil companies are allowed to drill more in various domestic areas (ANWR, Gulf of Mexico, etc.) My point is that this claim is incorrect, and that a big "only if" is required to make it correct. If this domestically-sourced oil is sold on the world market, then it will have no effect on our foreign oil dependency. If this domestically-sourced oil is kept in the U.S. and refined here, then it will reduce our need to purchase foreign oil. I'm not sure how to make my point any clearer. |
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“The Second Coming of Jeebus” Joined: Jan 7, 2008 Comments: 11095 ISP: Chicago, IL |
It's crucial, because fungibility shows that "energy independence" is a myth. No! No! No! Energy independence is typically meant as one of two things: security of supply and security of pricing. Since oil is fungible, it is priced on a global market (and, yes, I realize that every type of crude has its own price and that Indonesia Minas 34º is not the same price as Brent Blend 38º). Therefore from a pricing standpoint, it makes no difference if ANWR oil is sold to us or overseas. The effect of supply is effectively the same. The same framework holds for security of supply. There are two scenarios - a boycott of the US and a global supply restriction. In the first case, oil suppliers from the boycotters will now be going to our export markets, so we can divert our supply or trade with the recipients. In a global slowdown, we can divert supply. Either way, where the oil is sold to is irrelevant. "Energy independence" is a myth, as basic oil economics shows. My point is that you get to the same exact point by exporting ours and buying other folks' oil. |
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[QUOTE who="ByronMoreno...My point is that you get to the same exact point by exporting ours and buying other folks' oil.[/QUOTE]
Except that it costs a bit to ship it. If the cost of shipping oil is negligible to the cost of the oil itself, then oil truly is 100% fungible as you say. A while back... I don't know if this is still true... the U.S. was selling oil from certain locations in Alaska to Japan (perhaps locations that were not near the Alaskan oil pipeline), since it was cheaper to transport it to Japan than it was to go through the Panama canal up to the refineries in the Gulf of Mexico (U.S. refineries, for those who are geographically illiterate). |
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“The Second Coming of Jeebus” Joined: Jan 7, 2008 Comments: 11095 ISP: Chicago, IL |
Correct (about my point and selling to Japan). I was trying to simplify the matter a bit. |
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I guess I'm a little slow because I still don't understand how your fungibility argument responds to my point about keeping U.S.-sourced oil in the U.S. to reduce our need to purchase foreign-sourced oil. I didn't mention "energy independence" or price of oil. Maybe my argument is too simplistic and doesn't take into account enough about oil markets. Still, I haven't heard anything to disabuse me of the notion that if we increase the U.S. oil supply by drilling in more domestic areas, and we keep this additional oil supply for U.S. consumption, then we'd reduce our need to buy foreign oil. |
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Give it up. Arguing with 'Moreno' is like trying to nail Jell-o to the wall. He learned a new word, and the word is 'fungible' and he will delight us all with his new vocabulary. |
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Fungible,Isn't that what your feet become when you don't wear your shower shoes at the gym?
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“The Second Coming of Jeebus” Joined: Jan 7, 2008 Comments: 11095 ISP: Chicago, IL |
Oil economics is a very strange and counter-intuitive subject. The point, at its most simple, is that a barrel of oil sold anywhere displaces another barrel. And that barrel will typically, barring outside interference, find its way back to where the original one came from. Plus, prices are set globally, so even if we did not import a single barrel, our domestic prices would still reflect the global price. But in terms of not buying foreign oil, think of it this way. We keep $2 worth of new oil. We buy $10 from Saudi Arabia. Japan buys $8. Now, what happens if we sell the oil to Japan? Japan buys $6 from SA and $2 from us. We buy $12 from SA. Net outcome: First case - SA sells $18 Second case - SA sells $18 Our $2 merely flows through the system. The point is that it is irrelevant where our oil goes. The same amount of money will flow to prior producers. The same price swings will affect us. The same shortage issues will hit us. |
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“The Second Coming of Jeebus” Joined: Jan 7, 2008 Comments: 11095 ISP: Chicago, IL |
*yawn* I see you can't add to the discussion. |
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