What a coincidence! My great uncle used to bat clean up for the Yomiuri Giants.<quoted text>
The Annunaki are Native American Star people. I am Sumerian and I am Star Child and my twin sister is the part of the Annunaki Gaints.
Posted in the Offbeat Forum
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Since: Jun 09
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What a coincidence! My great uncle used to bat clean up for the Yomiuri Giants. |
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“Are We Having Fun Yet???” Since: Jun 08
If Not, Why Not!!! |
Judged: 2 1 8833 |
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“Keep your friends close” Since: Jun 08
and your enemies in the trunk |
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Empirically, this formula correlates fairly well with how baseball teams actually perform. However, statisticians since the invention of this formula found it to have a fairly routine error, generally about 3 games off. For example, in 2002, the New York Yankees scored 897 runs, allowing 697 runs. According to James' original formula, the Yankees should have won 62.35% of their games. Based on a 162 game season, the Yankees should have won 101.07 games. The 2002 Yankees actually went 103-58.[2] In efforts to fix this error, statisticians have performed numerous searches to find the ideal exponent. If using a single number exponent, 1.83 is the most accurate, and the one used by baseball-reference.com , the premier website for baseball statistics across teams and time.[3] The updated formula therefore reads as follows: The most widely known is the Pythagenport formula[4] developed by Clay Davenport of Baseball Prospectus: He concluded that the exponent should be calculated from a given team based on the team's runs scored (R), runs allowed (RA), and games (G). By not reducing the exponent to a single number for teams in any season, Davenport was able to report a 3.9911 root-mean-square error as opposed to a 4.126 root-mean-square error for an exponent of 2.[5] Less well known but equally (if not more) effective is the Pythagenpat formula, developed by David Smyth.[6] |
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First-order wins, based on pure run differential, are the number of expected wins generated by the "pythagenport" formula (see above). In addition, to further filter out the distortions of luck, sabermetricians can also calculate a team's expected runs scored and allowed via a runs created-type equation (the most accurate at the team level being Base Runs). These formulas result in the team's expected number of runs given their offensive and defensive stats (total singles, doubles, walks, etc.), which helps to eliminate the luck factor of the order in which the team's hits and walks came within an inning. Using these stats, sabermetricians can calculate how many runs a team "should" have scored or allowed. By plugging these expected runs scored and allowed into the pythagorean formula, one can generate second-order wins, the number of wins a team deserves based on the number of runs they should have scored and allowed given their component offensive and defensive statistics. Third-order wins are second-order wins that have been adjusted for strength of schedule (the quality of the opponent's pitching and hitting). Second- and third-order winning percentage has been shown to predict future actual team winning percentage better than both actual winning percentage and first-order winning percentage. |
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Daryl's "Modified Pythagorean Theorem" was first published in STATS Basketball Scoreboard, 1993-94.[12] Noted basketball analyst Dean Oliver also applied James' Pythagorean theory to professional basketball. The result was similar. Another noted basketball statistician, John Hollinger, uses a similar Pythagorean formula except with 16.5 as the exponent. |
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Although Football Outsiders Almanac acknowledges that the formula had been less-successful in picking Super Bowl participants from 2005–2008, it reasserted itself in 2009 and 2010. Furthermore, "[t]he Pythagorean projection is also still a valuable predictor of year-to-year improvement. Teams that win a minimum of one full game more than their Pythagorean projection tend to regress the following year; teams that win a minimum of one full game less than their Pythagoerean projection tend to improve the following year, particularly if they were at or above .500 despite their underachieving. For example, the 2008 New Orleans Saints went 8-8 despite 9.5 Pythagorean wins, hinting at the improvement that came with the next year's championship season." |
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Since: Jun 09
Location hidden |
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“Keep your friends close” Since: Jun 08
and your enemies in the trunk |
F=-kx where x is the displacement of the spring's end from its equilibrium position (a distance, in SI units: metres); F is the restoring force exerted by the spring on that end (in SI units: N or kg·m/s2); and k is a constant called the rate or spring constant (in SI units: N/m or kg/s2). When this holds, the behavior is said to be linear. If shown on a graph, the line should show a direct variation. There is a negative sign on the right hand side of the equation because the restoring force always acts in the opposite direction of the displacement (for example, when a spring is stretched to the left, it pulls back to the right). |
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