Awesome article! As for No.2. They ARE going to re-create artificial reproducing life forms.<quoted text>
1. the young oceans certainly at some spots had thousands of organic compounds mixed up and driven by solar or geothermal energy, implying that every single second, tons of biochemicals were constantly reacting. And the compounds this yielded, were also constantly reacting with other compounds. As observed in underwater fumaroles for instance, where a constant inorganically and organically chemical process is going on. Tons maybe millions of tons of biochemical material, constantly reacting, processing and compounding, accumulating to an ever growing biochemical mass, extending over hundreds of millions of years.
If you count every reaction of any given mix of chemicals to be one trial, there were quadrillions times quintillions times septillions trials. Does this satisfy your requirements?
2. we don't need to recreate a living organism in a lab by having chemicals. Because we neither need to recreate atoms to understand atom theory. Neither do we need to rebuild complete stars to understand the basic processes in stars. We neither need to recreate the human body to understand how it works and to apply this validly in medicine.
Abiogenesis does not even try to recreate life in a test tube. It tries to reconstruct the pathway form abiotic conditions through biochemical processes to the first life. And it is VERY PROMISING and much more advanced than you probably would fancy: www.mcb.ucdavis.edu/faculty-labs/scholey/jour...
Look at all the pretty geometric shapes in the RNA molecule.
Life just itchin' to form out of electrically charged atoms and geometric shapes just almost pulling to close the spaces between them, yet standing at tension to constantly force those shapes into continuance and into evermore complex shapes to give rise to every living and non-living chemical process, cycle, rhythm and form in the observable universe.
It's all just so elegant. So suspiciously elegant I will brazenly profess my support of the idea that there's no reason why all this can't be ALIVE or conscious somehow in a sense humans are unable to express in a consistent way. Don't worry about it, it's the intent that counts.
There is a curious lack of orderly geometry associated with human hate, anger and violence.
Animal violence and predation actually follows natural scalar geometry as does biological evolution.