Australia's State of the Climate: Extreme Heat Levels Rising, South Australia Drying Up
There are 1 comment on the International Business Times story from Mar 4, 2014, titled Australia's State of the Climate: Extreme Heat Levels Rising, South Australia Drying Up. In it, International Business Times reports that:
A helicopter dumps water on a bushfire burning near houses in the Grampians bushland in the southeastern Australian state of Victoria, about 300 km west of Melbourne, January 17, 2014.
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#1 Mar 4, 2014
Former Greenpeace co-founder Dr Patrick Moore attacks the global warming faith in testimony to the US Senate:
There is no scientific proof that human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) are the dominant cause of the minor warming of the Earths atmosphere over the past 100 years. If there were such a proof it would be written down for all to see....
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states:It is extremely likely that human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century."
The IPCC defines extremely likely as a 95-100% probability. But upon further examination it is clear that these numbers are not the result of any mathematical calculation or statistical analysis. They have been invented as a construct within the IPCC report to express expert judgment, as determined by the IPCC contributors.
These judgments are based, almost entirely, on the results of sophisticated computer models designed to predict the future of global climate. As noted by many observers, including Dr. Freeman Dyson of the Princeton Institute for Advanced Studies, a computer model is not a crystal ball
The IPCC states that humans are the dominant cause of warming since the mid-20th century, which is 1950. From 1910 to 1940 there was an increase in global average temperature of 0.5°C over that 30-year period. Then there was a 30-year pause until 1970. This was followed by an increase of 0.57°C during the 30-year period from 1970 to 2000. Since then there has been no increase, perhaps a slight decrease, in average global temperature. This in itself tends to negate the validity of the computer models, as CO2 emissions have continued to accelerate during this time.
The increase in temperature between 1910-1940 was virtually identical to the increase between 1970-2000. Yet the IPCC does not attribute the increase from 1910- 1940 to human influence. They are clear in their belief that human emissions impact only the increase since the mid-20th century. Why does the IPCC believe that a virtually identical increase in temperature after 1950 is caused mainly by human influence, when it has no explanation for the nearly identical increase from 1910- 1940?
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