Global Mag. 7.0-8.2,4-6 Nov '13 forecast

Posted in the Earthquake Forum

Testing

Alexandria, VA

#1 Nov 3, 2013
Earthquake Forecast

Location: global (65 N to -65 S)

Magnitude: 7.0 -8.2

Time Interval: 48 hours (06:32 4 Nov- 06:32 6 Nov '13 utc)

Detected (rare) signal similar to 'Mag 8+ signal' but different in ways suggesting a lower magnitude.
Guestimating the mag. 7.0-8.2 range.

Post time: 06:17:30 utc, 4 NOv. 2013

Disclaimer: Running a test to see if history repeats.

Testing

Alexandria, VA

#2 Nov 3, 2013
Guesstimate based on (real small sample sized) "polarity" is that if this event hits it will strike either
a) east of 130 West or
b) East of 95 West
+ 180 degrees
(to a)50 E or b) 85 east).
This event may be a 'foreshock candidate location':
M4.5 - 265km WNW of Ferndale, California 2013-11-04 05:57:15 UTC
Time
2013-11-04 00:57:15 UTC-05:00
Location
41.133N 127.321W
Depth
10.0km
(If quake hits here then a west coast tsunami is possible).
Disclaimer: Running a test based on previous data. Locations are based on thin sample sizes and are not reliable (as is the whole forecast).
Post time: 4 Nov 2013 , 06:33 utc.
Testing_b

Alexandria, VA

#3 Nov 7, 2013
Eq. Forecast #2:

Eastern USA - New Madrid over to e. coast etc.
Location: 92 West - 65 West, 30N - 48N
Magnitude: 3.2-5.8
Time period: 8 Nov. 2013, 00:45 + 6 h utc - 10 Nov. 2013, 00:45 + 6h utc

Disclaimer: Testing- for entertainment only.

Post time: 00:45:30 utc, 8 Nov. 2013
Testing_b

Alexandria, VA

#5 Nov 10, 2013
ref Eq. Forecast #2 - event info. outside 92W long.:

M3.4 - 7km NNE of Edmond, Oklahoma 2013-11-10
23:25:00 UTC, Location 35.716N 97.450W
Depth, 5.3km

noted 11-11-13, 04:44 utc
Testing_b

Alexandria, VA

#6 Nov 10, 2013
ref eq. forecast #1 (global)- 5+ events in time period:
(closest:)
M 5.0 - Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Time:2013-11-04 14:39:33 UTC
Location: 8.974N 40.479W, Depth: 15.3km

M 5.2 - 75km ENE of Kainantu, Papua New Guinea
2013-11-05 01:47:13 UTC Location: 6.063S 146.512E

5.4 22km WNW of Barpathar, India 2013-11-06 04:16:17 UTC 43.4 km

5.4 93km E of Nago, Japan 2013-11-06 01:13:28 UTC 13.8 km

5.1 North Indian Ocean 2013-11-05 20:47:07 UTC 17.8 km

5.0 153km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga 2013-11-05 18:17:01 UTC 290.8 km
***
(Largest event outside time period:)
M 5.7 - 44km W of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia
Time: 2013-11-07 16:46:34 UTC
Location: 22.355S 171.620E, Depth: 98.0km

noted 11-11-13, 0455 utc
Event_info

Alexandria, VA

#7 Nov 12, 2013
Event info.
>Earthquake Forecast
>Location: global (65 N to -65 S)
>Magnitude: 7.0 -8.2
>Time Interval: 48 hours (06:32 4 Nov- 06:32 6 Nov '13 utc)
>Detected (rare) signal similar to 'Mag 8+ signal' >but different in ways suggesting a lower >magnitude.
>Guestimating the mag. 7.0-8.2 range.
>Post time: 06:17:30 utc, 4 NOv. 2013
>Disclaimer: Running a test to see if history repeats.

M 6.6 - 172km S of Ust'-Kamchatsk Staryy, Russia
PAGER - GREENShakeMap - VIIDYFI?- IVTsunami Warning Center

Time
2013-11-12 07:03:51 UTC
Location
54.681N 162.286E
Depth
47.2km

(Mw 8.3, 46.59 N, 153.27 E, 15 Nov06 ut 'nearby')

Noted @ 15:46 utc, 12 Nov 2013

Tell me when this thread is updated:

Subscribe Now Add to my Tracker

Add your comments below

Characters left: 4000

Please note by submitting this form you acknowledge that you have read the Terms of Service and the comment you are posting is in compliance with such terms. Be polite. Inappropriate posts may be removed by the moderator. Send us your feedback.

Earthquake Discussions

Title Updated Last By Comments
USGS: Earthquakes Shake Alfalfa County 17 hr Hal 1
Have the Japanese Become 'Numb' to Earthquakes? 17 hr Hal 1
2011 Japan earthquake: Fault had been relieving... 17 hr Hal 1
Earthquake could imperil L.A.'s water supply Tue Get Unstuck 2
Carmel River diverted to allow dam removal, pre... Tue Clint 1
Earthquake Early Warning System gets $5 million... Tue Stefan 1
23 Seismometer arrays-Their use in earthquake a... Tue Stefan 1