Global Mag. 7.0-8.2,4-6 Nov '13 forecast

Global Mag. 7.0-8.2,4-6 Nov '13 forecast

Posted in the Earthquake Forum

Testing

Chesapeake, OH

#1 Nov 3, 2013
Earthquake Forecast

Location: global (65 N to -65 S)

Magnitude: 7.0 -8.2

Time Interval: 48 hours (06:32 4 Nov- 06:32 6 Nov '13 utc)

Detected (rare) signal similar to 'Mag 8+ signal' but different in ways suggesting a lower magnitude.
Guestimating the mag. 7.0-8.2 range.

Post time: 06:17:30 utc, 4 NOv. 2013

Disclaimer: Running a test to see if history repeats.

Testing

Chesapeake, OH

#2 Nov 3, 2013
Guesstimate based on (real small sample sized) "polarity" is that if this event hits it will strike either
a) east of 130 West or
b) East of 95 West
+ 180 degrees
(to a)50 E or b) 85 east).
This event may be a 'foreshock candidate location':
M4.5 - 265km WNW of Ferndale, California 2013-11-04 05:57:15 UTC
Time
2013-11-04 00:57:15 UTC-05:00
Location
41.133°N 127.321°W
Depth
10.0km
(If quake hits here then a west coast tsunami is possible).
Disclaimer: Running a test based on previous data. Locations are based on thin sample sizes and are not reliable (as is the whole forecast).
Post time: 4 Nov 2013 , 06:33 utc.
Testing_b

Chesapeake, OH

#3 Nov 7, 2013
Eq. Forecast #2:

Eastern USA - New Madrid over to e. coast etc.
Location: 92 West - 65 West, 30N - 48N
Magnitude: 3.2-5.8
Time period: 8 Nov. 2013, 00:45 + 6 h utc - 10 Nov. 2013, 00:45 + 6h utc

Disclaimer: Testing- for entertainment only.

Post time: 00:45:30 utc, 8 Nov. 2013
Testing_b

Chesapeake, OH

#5 Nov 10, 2013
ref Eq. Forecast #2 - event info. outside 92W long.:

M3.4 - 7km NNE of Edmond, Oklahoma 2013-11-10
23:25:00 UTC, Location 35.716°N 97.450°W
Depth, 5.3km

noted 11-11-13, 04:44 utc
Testing_b

Chesapeake, OH

#6 Nov 10, 2013
ref eq. forecast #1 (global)- 5+ events in time period:
(closest:)
M 5.0 - Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge
Time:2013-11-04 14:39:33 UTC
Location: 8.974°N 40.479°W, Depth: 15.3km

M 5.2 - 75km ENE of Kainantu, Papua New Guinea
2013-11-05 01:47:13 UTC Location: 6.063°S 146.512°E

5.4 22km WNW of Barpathar, India 2013-11-06 04:16:17 UTC 43.4 km

5.4 93km E of Nago, Japan 2013-11-06 01:13:28 UTC 13.8 km

5.1 North Indian Ocean 2013-11-05 20:47:07 UTC 17.8 km

5.0 153km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga 2013-11-05 18:17:01 UTC 290.8 km
***
(Largest event outside time period:)
M 5.7 - 44km W of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia
Time: 2013-11-07 16:46:34 UTC
Location: 22.355°S 171.620°E, Depth: 98.0km

noted 11-11-13, 0455 utc
Event_info

Chesapeake, OH

#7 Nov 12, 2013
Event info.
>Earthquake Forecast
>Location: global (65 N to -65 S)
>Magnitude: 7.0 -8.2
>Time Interval: 48 hours (06:32 4 Nov- 06:32 6 Nov '13 utc)
>Detected (rare) signal similar to 'Mag 8+ signal' >but different in ways suggesting a lower >magnitude.
>Guestimating the mag. 7.0-8.2 range.
>Post time: 06:17:30 utc, 4 NOv. 2013
>Disclaimer: Running a test to see if history repeats.

M 6.6 - 172km S of Ust'-Kamchatsk Staryy, Russia
PAGER - GREENShakeMap - VIIDYFI?- IVTsunami Warning Center

Time
2013-11-12 07:03:51 UTC
Location
54.681°N 162.286°E
Depth
47.2km

(Mw 8.3, 46.59 N, 153.27 E, 15 Nov06 ut 'nearby')

Noted @ 15:46 utc, 12 Nov 2013

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