Illinois: Does Joe Walsh Have a Shot at Coming Back to Congress?

Sep 20, 2012 | Posted by: roboblogger | Full story: Roll Call

Not everyone thinks Rep. Joe Walsh is a political goner. There are some signs his re-election race could be competitive.

Comments
61 - 80 of 96 Comments Last updated Sep 25, 2012

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#61
Sep 22, 2012
 

Judged:

1

1

1

twostroketerror wrote:
<quoted text>
BS!! I swear your eyes must be brown at this point you're so full of it!
The only poll that counts, the electoral college, Obama 274 Rmoney 191.
Get used to it, the next 4 years will be rough on you.
Dragged though the street?. That's why they had him by the torso and the guy had his cell phone in his mouth, they wanted to hurt him so bad.
Think with you're brain, not the AM radio for cripes sake!!!!
Romeny has the popular vote sewed......the popular vote in all but three elections have decided the electorial vote, because the delegates are appointed and vote accordingly.

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#62
Sep 22, 2012
 

Judged:

1

1

1

But 2008 was no ordinary election. Blacks, for example, usually cast only 11% of the vote, but, in 2008, they made up 14% of the vote. Latinos increased their share of the vote by 1.5% and college kids almost doubled their vote share. Almost all pollsters are using the 2008 turnout models in weighting their samples. Rasmussen, more accurately, uses a mixture of 2008 and 2004 turnouts in determining his sample. That’s why his data usually is better for Romney.

But polling indicates a widespread lack of enthusiasm among Obama’s core demographic support due to high unemployment, disappointment with his policies and performance, and the lack of novelty in voting for a black candidate now that he has already served as president.

If you adjust virtually any of the published polls to reflect the 2004 vote, not the 2008 vote, they show the race either tied or Romney ahead, a view much closer to reality.

2. Almost all of the published polls show Obama getting less than 50% of the vote and less than 50% job approval. A majority of the voters either support Romney or are undecided in almost every poll.

But the fact is that the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.

An undecided voter has really decided not to back the incumbent. He just won’t focus on the race until later in the game.

So, when the published poll shows Obama ahead by, say, 48-45, he’s really probably losing by 52-48!

Add these two factors together and the polls that are out there are all misleading. Any professional pollster (those consultants hired by candidates not by media outlets) would publish two findings for each poll — one using 2004 turnout modeling and the other using 2008 modeling. This would indicate just how dependent on an unusually high turnout of his base the Obama camp really is.

“I'd rather be snowmobiling”

Since: Oct 07

8120'

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#63
Sep 22, 2012
 
Le Jimbo wrote:
<quoted text>Romeny has the popular vote sewed......the popular vote in all but three elections have decided the electorial vote, because the delegates are appointed and vote accordingly.
Obama 328, Rmoney 206
http://electoral-vote.com/
Cat74

Mchenry, IL

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#64
Sep 22, 2012
 

Judged:

1

1

1

Investigating what, moron boy? Everyone in America knew the attack was a terrorist attack the moment it happened. It took your Arab sympathizing President 9 days to begin to tell the truth, and he is still blaming some movie, He is a half wit, and we cannot afford any more of his fairy tales. We need an American President.

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#65
Sep 22, 2012
 

Judged:

2

1

1

twostroketerror wrote:
<quoted text>
Obama 328, Rmoney 206
http://electoral-vote.com/
you are like Obama, you like to dwell on if's, could be's and maybe......and then claim it's fact.
monty

United States

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#66
Sep 22, 2012
 
I'm not sure if I prefer the former Joe Walsh of the James Gang or the present Joe Walsh of the Eagles.
Remember The Roman Empire

AOL

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#67
Sep 23, 2012
 
If you prefer getting lied to at every democratically controled part of our government, then voted for the Obama political hack!!!!! Perverting our government is their intent. It tilts the laws and playing field heavily in their favor.

The only thing Walsh is guilty of is TELLING THE TRUTH !!! Sometimes the Truth is not all brght and shiny, sometimes it is ugly and un politically correct. Me I admire and "Resepect" a LEADER who will give the truth no matter what.
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#68
Sep 24, 2012
 
Cat74 wrote:
Even if that were true, poo poo, and we might see different polls, Romney is likely going to win after the Debates. You Cannot have a teleprompter in the debates,and the President doesn't do well left to his own thoughts.
It'll be funny when he (once again) proves you Righties WRONG. You've repeated that ridiculous teleprompter lie so many times, you've made YOURSELVES believe it!

Here's hoping Mittens believes it too, and is left standing there open-mouthed as Obama destroys him in every debate...:)
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#69
Sep 24, 2012
 
Remember The Roman Empire wrote:
If you prefer getting lied to at every democratically controled part of our government, then voted for the Obama political hack!!!!! Perverting our government is their intent. It tilts the laws and playing field heavily in their favor.
The only thing Walsh is guilty of is TELLING THE TRUTH !!! Sometimes the Truth is not all brght and shiny, sometimes it is ugly and un politically correct. Me I admire and "Resepect" a LEADER who will give the truth no matter what.
Your post proves you wouldn't know the "truth" if it bit you on your fat butt.

LOL
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#70
Sep 24, 2012
 
Le Jimbo wrote:
<quoted text>Romeny has the popular vote sewed......the popular vote in all but three elections have decided the electorial vote, because the delegates are appointed and vote accordingly.
The Spambot proves he knows nothing about the American electoral system. The ONLY vote that matters is at the state level, and the states that matter most are the ones with the most electoral votes. In fact, the 2000 election PROVED that the popular vote is all but irrelevant. And not for the first time, either.

Thanks for being an idiot! LOL!
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#71
Sep 24, 2012
 
Cat74 wrote:
Investigating what, moron boy? Everyone in America knew the attack was a terrorist attack the moment it happened. It took your Arab sympathizing President 9 days to begin to tell the truth, and he is still blaming some movie, He is a half wit, and we cannot afford any more of his fairy tales. We need an American President.
Technically ANY attack on civilians, including diplomats, could be called a "terrorist attack," since terrorism is all about killing innocent and/or unarmed people. But of course NO one thought it was related to recognized terrorist groups like al-Qai'da at first, you included.

Shameful that you lie, traitorously, about our President and put the interests of other nations and terrorist groups above your own nation. That is, IF you're really an American at all. Certainly Mr. Obama is, and always has been.
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#72
Sep 24, 2012
 
Le Jimbo wrote:
<quoted text>you are like Obama, you like to dwell on if's, could be's and maybe......and then claim it's fact.
Hilariously hypocritical coming from the Spambot. He CONSTANTLY posts statements of fact which turn out not to be factual, and he never has any support for them in any case.

His usual reply, you all know. A big cut n' paste of irrelevancies from Drudge Sludge.:)

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#73
Sep 24, 2012
 

Judged:

2

1

1

harvey wrote:
<quoted text>
It'll be funny when he (once again) proves you Righties WRONG. You've repeated that ridiculous teleprompter lie so many times, you've made YOURSELVES believe it!
Here's hoping Mittens believes it too, and is left standing there open-mouthed as Obama destroys him in every debate...:)
Rep. Rogers slams State Department for Pakistan ads denouncing anti-Islamic film , OBAMA AND HILLARY SPEND $70,000 APPOLOGIZING FOR A VIDEO THAT IS BLOCKED FROM RUNNING…………oh well it’s only our tax money.

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#74
Sep 24, 2012
 

Judged:

2

1

1

harvey wrote:
<quoted text>
Hilariously hypocritical coming from the Spambot. He CONSTANTLY posts statements of fact which turn out not to be factual, and he never has any support for them in any case.
His usual reply, you all know. A big cut n' paste of irrelevancies from Drudge Sludge.:)
You keep making these wild claim cupcake.......when are you going to prove it?

Slipping away? Obama campaign manager now says DON'T PAY ATTENTION TO 'NATIONAL' POLLS...

EDIT: CBS Doesn't Air Obama Admitting Mistakes in Campaign Ads...

There, prove that wrong whistle britches.

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#75
Sep 24, 2012
 

Judged:

1

1

harvey wrote:
<quoted text>
Your post proves you wouldn't know the "truth" if it bit you on your fat butt.
LOL
Gibbs: Americans Not 'Misled' by Adminstration, TRUE, WE KNOW THEY CONSTANTLY LIE.
Responsibility

San Mateo, CA

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#76
Sep 24, 2012
 
PooPoo Platter wrote:
<quoted text>
In that real world, Barack Obama is a graduate of Harvard Law School, edited the law review, taught Constitutional Law at the University of Chicago Law School, was elected to the Illinois Senate, the US Senate, and then was elected President of the United States.
Hope you saw the two 60 minute interviews with ROmney and President Obama. ROmney - as usual - looked out of his depth, shifty and uncomfortable. It was odd to watch.

Since: Nov 08

Location hidden

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#77
Sep 24, 2012
 

Judged:

1

1

1

Responsibility wrote:
<quoted text>
Hope you saw the two 60 minute interviews with ROmney and President Obama. ROmney - as usual - looked out of his depth, shifty and uncomfortable. It was odd to watch.
EDIT: CBS Doesn't Air Obama Admitting Mistakes in Campaign Ads... the propaganda ministry is on the ball as usual.......seig heil.
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#79
Sep 24, 2012
 
Le Jimbo wrote:
<quoted text>You keep making these wild claim cupcake.......when are you going to prove it?
Slipping away? Obama campaign manager now says DON'T PAY ATTENTION TO 'NATIONAL' POLLS...
EDIT: CBS Doesn't Air Obama Admitting Mistakes in Campaign Ads...
There, prove that wrong whistle britches.
I don't have to "prove" what I see every day, and what everyone else sees as well. Spare me your ignorant bluster,'kay? I'm not impressed. You get your 'news' from Drudge....'nuff said.
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#80
Sep 24, 2012
 
Le Jimbo wrote:
<quoted text>
EDIT: CBS Doesn't Air Obama Admitting Mistakes in Campaign Ads... the propaganda ministry is on the ball as usual.......seig heil.
Leave it to a nazi and an anti-American like you to play the Hitler card. Throw yourself off a building.
harvey

Columbus, OH

|
Report Abuse
|
Judge it!
|
#81
Sep 24, 2012
 
Responsibility wrote:
<quoted text>
Hope you saw the two 60 minute interviews with ROmney and President Obama. ROmney - as usual - looked out of his depth, shifty and uncomfortable. It was odd to watch.
He's a slicker, nicer-looking Nixon, but one without the foreign policy savvy.

Beware!

Tell me when this thread is updated: (Registration is not required)

Add to my Tracker Send me an email

Add your comments below

Characters left: 4000

Please note by submitting this form you acknowledge that you have read the Terms of Service and the comment you are posting is in compliance with such terms. Be polite. Inappropriate posts may be removed by the moderator. Send us your feedback.

•••