Long Island businesses say they're ready for storm
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#1 Jul 26, 2007
"The nice thing about hurricanes is that you can see them coming in advance, which gives us the ability to plan for them," Horton said.
????(I place the question marks because of the vagueness of this statement)
Your notion may hold up for weak hurricanes, however with strong cat.3+ hurricanes there will be very little time to prepare. We wouldn't know for sure a major hurricane is going to hit until 12-18 hrs before it does and even that is a high end figure. If we rolled back to 1938 we would have had 8 hrs. maximum to prepare based on a forecast that implied a direct hit was certain, or in the 95% Percentile.
What type of planning will you do Horton if you receive a forecast saying the storm is 300 miles south of Cape Hatteras, and that it's track remains uncertain?
What do you do? Do you plan for the worst? I guarantee you that many businesses nor residents will do this until they know for sure that a major hurricane is coming...
This is due to the geography problem that hurts us on Long Island. By making simplified statements as you did, you actually cause confusion among the general public.
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