Cancer questions grow around Fermi nu...

Cancer questions grow around Fermi nuclear plant

There are 3 comments on the michiganmessenger.com story from Feb 17, 2009, titled Cancer questions grow around Fermi nuclear plant. In it, michiganmessenger.com reports that:

The cancer rate among people under the age of 25 in Monroe County rose at more than three times the rate of the rest of the state between 1996 and 2005, according to a report generated by the Michigan Department of Community Health (MDCH). Monroe is home to DTE Energy’s Fermi II nuclear power plant, which became fully operational in 1988. While industry and government experts dismiss the possibility that local cancer rates are related to the nuclear plant, critics of the plant and nuclear power say more study is needed.

Join the discussion below, or Read more at michiganmessenger.com.

koz

Brecksville, OH

#1 Feb 18, 2009
Any money or effort spent on studying a relationship between Fermi and the cancer rates is money and effort taken from finding the actual causes of the statistical variation.
BDV

Decatur, GA

#2 Feb 18, 2009
critics of the plant and nuclear power say more study is needed.
OK, call us in 25 years with the results.
BDV

Decatur, GA

#3 Feb 18, 2009
Actually consider:

Age groups: Below 25, 25-50, above 50.

Sex: male, female, both.

Properties: Incidence,(rate of) increase in incidence.

Nuclear PowerPlants: Cook, Fermi, Palisades.

Decades: 1988-1997, 1989-1998, 1990-1999, 1991-2000, 1992-2001, 1993-2002, 1994-2003, 1995-2004, 1996-2005, 1997-2006, and 1998-2007.

That's 3 times 3 times 2 times 3 times 3 (approximation, decades not completely statistically independent). That's 162 groups. Probability of "at least one statistically significant" event is 99.98%.

Number of expected "statistically significant" events (groups of people with "abnormal cancer incidence") is 8. That is there are we expect about 8 (EIGHT) combinations of:
age-group+decade+cancer measure+nuclear plant site
to be elevated to "statistically significant" levels - for the state of Michigan alone.

And the article does not even tell that the measurement was "statistically significant". Where are the other 7 groups of "radiation cancers"?

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