ARG poll of Ohio: Obama 49% (+2) Romney 47% (-1)

Posted in the Minneapolis Forum

Smart Liberal

Saint Paul, MN

#1 Oct 26, 2012
ARG poll of Ohio: Obama 49%(+2) Romney 47%(-1) Early Vote +11 Obama

(Even ARG, one of the few polls to have Romney up in Ohio, is now putting Obama ahead):

Interview dates: October 23-25, 2012

Sample size: 600 likely voters

Margin of error:± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time

Question wording and responses:

If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?

Ohio
Obama Romney Other Undecided

Likely voters 49% 47% 1% 3%

Democrats (43%) 87% 9% 1% 3%
Republicans (34%) 10% 88%- 2%
Independents (23%) 36% 57% 2% 5%

Men (47%) 43% 54% 1% 2%
Women (53%) 54% 41% 1% 4%

18 to 49 (52%) 52% 44% 1% 3%
50 and older (48%) 46% 50% 1% 3%

White (84%) 44% 52% 1% 4%
African American (11%) 93% 4%- 3%

Early voter (28%) 55% 44% 1%-
Election day (72%) 47% 48% 1% 4%

Oct 5-8 47% 48% 1% 4%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/OH1...
Le Jumbo

Minneapolis, MN

#2 Oct 26, 2012
Friday, October 26, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. This is the fourth consecutive day that Romney has been at the 50% level of support. He has enjoyed a three- or four-point edge on each of those days.
Le Jumbo

Minneapolis, MN

#3 Oct 26, 2012
Friday, October 26, 2012

Daily Swing State Tracking Poll
Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46%

In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.

-Rasmussen
Smart Liberal

Saint Paul, MN

#4 Oct 26, 2012
Le Jumbo wrote:
Friday, October 26, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided. This is the fourth consecutive day that Romney has been at the 50% level of support. He has enjoyed a three- or four-point edge on each of those days.
Interestingly, Presidents are elected by the electoral college, not individual votes.

Even with their 5 point Republican bias, Rasmussen calls Obama the leader in electoral votes.
Smart Liberal

Saint Paul, MN

#5 Oct 26, 2012
Le Jumbo wrote:
Friday, October 26, 2012
Daily Swing State Tracking Poll
Swing State Tracking: Romney 50%, Obama 46%
In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 50% of the vote to Obama’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and another two percent (2%) are undecided.
-Rasmussen
With Rasmussen's 5 point Republican bias, Obama leads by 1!
Le Jumbo

Minneapolis, MN

#6 Oct 26, 2012
Smart Liberal wrote:
<quoted text>
With Rasmussen's 5 point Republican bias, Obama leads by 1!
DumboSpeak for "Duh...you got me there!"
Smart Liberal

Saint Paul, MN

#7 Oct 26, 2012
12 more days and I get to laugh and laugh at you.

Did you see the post of the Rasmussen results form 2008? All their state results were biased heavily in favor of the Republicans.

Same thing in 2010.

You can call me any name you want, but that doesn't change the facts.
Le Jumbo

Minneapolis, MN

#8 Oct 26, 2012
Smart Liberal wrote:
12 more days and I get to laugh and laugh at you.
Did you see the post of the Rasmussen results form 2008? All their state results were biased heavily in favor of the Republicans.
Same thing in 2010.
You can call me any name you want, but that doesn't change the facts.
Sure you will dumbo, sure you will.

Hate to be the one to tell you but this is a national election, dumbo. Given this domain, Rasmussen is THE most accurate. Sorry, troll.
Bob Schmahl

Minneapolis, MN

#9 Dec 9, 2012
Le Jumbo wrote:
<quoted text>Sure you will dumbo, sure you will.
Hate to be the one to tell you but this is a national election, dumbo. Given this domain, Rasmussen is THE most accurate. Sorry, troll.
How did that work out for you?

Rasmussen is THE most accurate, huh?
Bridgework

Saint Paul, MN

#10 Dec 10, 2012
Well Rassmussen screwed up.

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