PPP--"GOP could lose the House in 2014"

Posted in the Minneapolis Forum

Jack Boot

Kansas City, MO

#1 Oct 7, 2013
PPP--"GOP could lose the House in 2014"

by science

Public Policy Polling has just surveyed 24 House districts currently occupying by Republicans. In 17 of them, a generic Democratic candidate is ahead, in 4, a generic Democrat is ahead when the respondent is told the Republican supported the shutdown, and in only 3 is the Republican ahead.

To: Interested Parties
From: Jim Williams, Public Policy Polling
Re: 24 New Polls show GOP in grave danger of losing House in wake of government shutdown.

If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted by Public Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats. The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, show Republican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that the Republican incumbent supported the government shutdown. In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told the incumbent supported the government shutdown. Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results make clear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.

Details are at http://www.scribd.com/doc/173826158/GOP-could...

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Smarterst Liberal

Saint Paul, MN

#2 Oct 7, 2013
Time for the Democrats to rethink their current strategy.

The Republicans, buoyed by a resurgence in popularity of the Tea Party, are poised to take control of the U.S. Senate in addition to maintaining control of the U.S. House in the midterm elections of 2014.

www.huffingtonpost.com

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goose

Chicago, IL

#3 Oct 7, 2013
All the polls, including the right wing Gallup, show that the tea party is at its lowest level of support yet among the public, whereas two ACTUAL polls now show that the Democrats have a great chance of taking the House in 2014.

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Sammy

Los Angeles, CA

#4 Oct 8, 2013
The Republicans losing control of the House would be the best thing that has happened to the United States since Bush was voted out.

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LIbEralS

Saint Paul, MN

#5 Oct 8, 2013
Morning Examiner: Beware the snake oil salesmen peddling 2014 election surveys

It was utterly predictable that liberal activists and their traditional media allies would claim that Republicans will lose their House majority in 2014 as a result of the government shutdown.

It was just as predictable that their Exhibit A would be a severely flawed poll bearing the same resemblance to statistical validity as Mr. Twain's lightning bug had to lightning.

First, the PPP survey has two major flaws. It covered only 700 adults, so the sample size is less than desirable for measuring voter behavior. Far better is a survey sample of at least 1,000 individuals.

More serious is that the respondents are randomly selected adults, not likely voters. As a result, a survey of 700 members of the French Foreign Legion would have been about as useful for predicting the outcome of the 2014 congressional contests.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/morning-examine...

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The Truth

Great Falls, VA

#10 Oct 11, 2013
LIbEralS wrote:
Morning Examiner: Beware the snake oil salesmen peddling 2014 election surveys
It was utterly predictable that liberal activists and their traditional media allies would claim that Republicans will lose their House majority in 2014 as a result of the government shutdown.
It was just as predictable that their Exhibit A would be a severely flawed poll bearing the same resemblance to statistical validity as
Seems to me that ALL the polls coming out - even from the Republican-biased pollsters like Gallup and Rasmussen - say the same thing: that the Republican's approval ratings are dropping like a rock and the Democrats are taking leads in the majority of the 2014 races.

Of course the Washington Examiner proved their credibility with their support of unskewedpolls.com in 2012, right?

Say, how did that work out for good old Mittens?

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Susan

United States

#12 Oct 14, 2013
Right wing zealots just manufacture poll numbers to support their causes. All the mainstream polls including the Republican polls from Gallup and Rasmussen say the same thing - America is done with the Republicans this time.

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Arch on Larch

Detroit, MI

#14 Oct 16, 2013
The House will belong to the true Americans, not the right wing radicals, come 2014.

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Fair Is Fair

Minneapolis, MN

#16 Oct 18, 2013
The tea party members should be tried for treason

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joke

Saint Paul, MN

#17 Oct 18, 2013
And Topix allows posts like these form its Nazis.

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Demystifying liberal myth

Minneapolis, MN

#18 Oct 18, 2013
LIbEralS wrote:
Morning Examiner: Beware the snake oil salesmen peddling 2014 election surveys
It was utterly predictable that liberal activists and their traditional media allies would claim that Republicans will lose their House majority in 2014 as a result of the government shutdown.
It was just as predictable that their Exhibit A would be a severely flawed poll bearing the same resemblance to statistical validity as Mr. Twain's lightning bug had to lightning.
First, the PPP survey has two major flaws. It covered only 700 adults, so the sample size is less than desirable for measuring voter behavior. Far better is a survey sample of at least 1,000 individuals.
More serious is that the respondents are randomly selected adults, not likely voters. As a result, a survey of 700 members of the French Foreign Legion would have been about as useful for predicting the outcome of the 2014 congressional contests.
http://washingtonexaminer.com/morning-examine...
The more is known -- and experienced by hapless would-be users -- about Obamacare and its obfuscations and exorbitant costs, the dimmer the Dems' chances to do anything in 2014. If the president were smart, he himself would push for a delay of the individual mandate of his moribund creation.

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goose

Lombard, IL

#21 Oct 18, 2013
Obviously you aren't reading the same polls the rest of us are...

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Arch on Larch

Detroit, MI

#22 Oct 19, 2013
The Democrats winning back control of the House is the best thing that could happen to the United States. With the obtructionists out of the way, America would grow and our economy would flourish.

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goose

Lombard, IL

#24 Oct 24, 2013
I think "will" is more likely than "could".

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“I am always right.”

Since: Oct 09

Former MN Taxpayer

#25 Oct 24, 2013
Jack Boot wrote:
PPP--"GOP could lose the House in 2014"
by science
Public Policy Polling has just surveyed 24 House districts currently occupying by Republicans. In 17 of them, a generic Democratic candidate is ahead, in 4, a generic Democrat is ahead when the respondent is told the Republican supported the shutdown, and in only 3 is the Republican ahead.
To: Interested Parties
From: Jim Williams, Public Policy Polling
Re: 24 New Polls show GOP in grave danger of losing House in wake of government shutdown.
If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted by Public Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats. The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, show Republican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that the Republican incumbent supported the government shutdown. In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told the incumbent supported the government shutdown. Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results make clear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.
Details are at http://www.scribd.com/doc/173826158/GOP-could...
PPP is a Democrat polling company. They better say that the Republicans could lose control or they don't get paid.

IrishMN Communications and Pool Hall, LLC, recently took a poll and found that the Democrats could lose control of the Senate in 2014.

My poll is as accurate as the PPP poll.

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Arch on Larch

Detroit, MI

#26 Oct 24, 2013
IrishMN wrote:
<quoted text>
PPP is a Democrat polling company. They better say that the Republicans could lose control or they don't get paid.
IrishMN Communications and Pool Hall, LLC, recently took a poll and found that the Democrats could lose control of the Senate in 2014.
My poll is as accurate as the PPP poll.
Every polling company out there, including the Republican-biased Gallup and Rasmussen, is forecasting that the Republicans will lose seats next year. Fabricating a poll won't change that.

Say, how is unskewedpolls.com doing these days? I tried to pull the site up the other day and it didn't seem to be working.

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“I am always right.”

Since: Oct 09

Former MN Taxpayer

#27 Oct 25, 2013
Arch on Larch wrote:
<quoted text>
Every polling company out there, including the Republican-biased Gallup and Rasmussen, is forecasting that the Republicans will lose seats next year. Fabricating a poll won't change that.
Say, how is unskewedpolls.com doing these days? I tried to pull the site up the other day and it didn't seem to be working.
Dumbo, if you had a brain you would remember that I am an advocate for RCP. They are an aggregator of a multitude of polls - with both left and right biases.

However, the one polling operation that you should pay attention to is IrishMN Communications and Pool Hall, LLC. They are always right.

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IrishLiar

Minneapolis, MN

#29 Oct 25, 2013
Still the biggest liar on Topix, I see.

So I see that your six month stay as a guest of the State of Minnesota hasn't improved your radical views. How was jail, by the way?

I'm sure you'll be making restitution to the State for your meals and care during your incarceration, correct?
IrishMN

Minneapolis, MN

#31 Oct 25, 2013
Public Policy Polling has just surveyed 24 House districts currently occupying by Republicans. In 17 of them, a generic Democratic candidate is ahead, in 4, a generic Democrat is ahead when the respondent is told the Republican supported the shutdown, and in only 3 is the Republican ahead.

To: Interested Parties
From: Jim Williams, Public Policy Polling
Re: 24 New Polls show GOP in grave danger of losing House in wake of government shutdown.

If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted by Public Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats. The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, show Republican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that the Republican incumbent supported the government shutdown. In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told the incumbent supported the government shutdown. Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results make clear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.
Arch on Larch

Detroit, MI

#40 Nov 8, 2013
Jack Boot wrote:
PPP--"GOP could lose the House in 2014"
by science
Public Policy Polling has just surveyed 24 House districts currently occupying by Republicans. In 17 of them, a generic Democratic candidate is ahead, in 4, a generic Democrat is ahead when the respondent is told the Republican supported the shutdown, and in only 3 is the Republican ahead.
To: Interested Parties
From: Jim Williams, Public Policy Polling
Re: 24 New Polls show GOP in grave danger of losing House in wake of government shutdown.
If the 2014 elections were held today, Republicans would be in grave danger of losing control of the House of Representatives, according to a series of 24 surveys conducted by Public Policy Polling in Republican-held House districts over the past few days. The surveys challenge the conventional wisdom that gerrymandering has put the House out of reach for Democrats. The surveys, commissioned and paid for by MoveOn.org Political Action, show Republican incumbents behind among registered voters in head-to-head contests with generic Democratic challengers in 17 districts. In four other districts, the incumbent Republican falls behind a generic Democratic candidate after respondents are told that the Republican incumbent supported the government shutdown. In only three districts do Republican incumbents best generic Democratic challengers after voters are told the incumbent supported the government shutdown. Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win control of the House. These poll results make clear that if the election were held today, such a pickup would be well within reach.
Details are at http://www.scribd.com/doc/173826158/GOP-could...
We can only hope!

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