No More Mass Transit: END IT
Posted in the Minneapolis Forum
#1 Mar 10, 2013
--41 % of rural residents, there's NO public transportation available at all. They do just FINE.
--25 % live in areas where public transportation is extremely inadequate; AKA the suburbs they want inner city thugs out!
--This would be a very advantageous cost saving move in the areas of fuel, road damage, air pollution, crime, noise and less traffic to contend with. After all these are just criminals riding these.
--Riders are using dark, steaming arterial tunnels that transport the wickedness, anonymity, and inhumanity of failed neighborhoods. Criminals become mobile across neighborhoods and commit crimes where the net returns are the largest.
#2 Mar 10, 2013
Bowes and Ihlanfeldt (2001) also used Atlanta data to estimate a simple neighborhood crime
model that served as an auxiliary equation to their hedonic price analysis of the impact of MARTA
rail stations on residential property values. The crime model was used to estimate the indirect effects
that stations may have on the values of nearby properties by attracting criminal activity to station
areas. In their basic model, Bowes and Ihlanfeldt (2001) found that the density of neighborhood crime
is higher in those census tracts whose centroids are within a quarter mile of a station. However, in
a model containing interactions, the latter effect was found to vary with neighborhood income,
distance from downtown, and whether the station had a parking lot.2
Finally, Block and Block (2000) mapped reported street robberies (actual and attempted) on
Chicago's Northeast Side and within the Bronx borough of New York City. For both of these places
they found that there was a strong relationship between street robbery and propinquity to a rapid
transit station. The number of robberies tended to peak a few blocks away from the stations.
(if someone finds the link I would appreciate it)
#3 Mar 10, 2013
STANDARD CRIME MODEL
-the expected net return (n) from committing a crime is defined as the expected payoff (w)
-minus the direct cost incurred in committing the crime (c)
-minus the product of the probability of
apprehension and conviction (p)
-and the prospective penalty if convicted (f):
= w - c - pf.
The person becomes a criminal if the Profit outweights the Costs.
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