What I've been hearing is that this one is too close to call.<quoted text>
And that can go plus 3.6% as well.
Anyway the point is that this old worn out wives tale that the public is sick of Republicans and conservatism is on it's way out is exactly that--an old wives tale.
I know you aren't an engineer, but here's the deal: I give you a standard 12" ruler, and ask you to measure an inch. How close will you get?
This particular ruler is smudged pretty badly. Every time you measure that inch it's not quite the same.
Now, instead of inches, you are measuring political opinion.
The best this particular ruler can do is +/- 3.6%. Which is fine when the differences you are measuring are 20 or 30 percent. But it starts to get a bit dicey when the differences are closer to 10% or less.
When the difference is only 2%, this particular ruler just can't discriminate a difference that tiny.
That's what makes a horse race, and, based on this poll, it's a dead heat.