Absolutely not true. Bakersfield California, Tampa Florida, and St. Louis all have roughly the same population as New Orleans. But the 2010 Murder counts for these cities are:<quoted text> But what is the rate ratio? Your use of rates is basically an odds count, more people, lower rate.
Tampa -- 27
Bakersfield -- 33
St. Louis -- 144
New Orleans -- 175 <-- Same # people, MUCH higher rate. Much worse murder odds.
It often does.<quoted text>So in an odds game of murder, it would basically boil down to being at the wrong place at the wrong time, would it not?
It would depend somewhat, a Southside housing project is undoubtedly more dangerous than Bourbon street or the French Quarter.<quoted text>Now would your odds be better in Chicago or New Orleans? It would depend on the neighborhood you were in.
But when you are comparing the whole city of Chicago to the whole city of New Orleans you compensate for the almost tenfold population difference by comparing the per capita rate. You are welcome to come up with a neighborhood by neighborhood breakdown that might shed some tighter analysis on the situation.<quoted text>So your rate would be relative to bad neighborhoods, and just what is the ratio of murder victims versus population in those neighborhoods?
With a per-capita murder rate 4 times that of Chicago, I think you will be surprised that there are some really, really sketchy neighborhoods in New Orleans too. I can't imagine why that is so hard to believe.