#41878 Nov 8, 2012
Romney may never have been the GOP's dream candidate, but even if he were, Republicans would still have been forced to confront another troubling structural problem on Election Day.
Democrats showed decisively that their ground game -- the combined effort to find, persuade and turn out voters -- is devastatingly better than anything their rivals have to offer.
In 2004, Republicans tapped the science of microtargeting to redefine campaigns. That is now ancient history.
"When it comes to the use of voter data and analytics, the two sides appear to be as unmatched as they have ever been on a specific electioneering tactic in the modern campaign era," Sasha Issenberg, a journalist and an expert in the science of campaigning, wrote just days before the election proved him right. "No party ever has ever had such a durable structural advantage over the other on polling, making television ads, or fundraising, for example."
The Romney campaign and the Republican National Committee entered Election Day boasting about the millions of voter contacts -- door knocks and phone calls -- they had made in all the key states.
Volunteers were making the calls using an automated VOIP-system, allowing them to dial registered voters at a rapid clip and punch in basic data about them on each phone's keypad, feeding basic information into the campaign's voter file.
But volunteer callers were met with angry hang-ups and answering machines just as much as actual voters on the other end of the line. It was a voter contact system that favored quantity over quality.
At the same time, the campaign's door-to-door canvassing effort was heavily reliant on fired-up but untrained volunteers.
Obama organizers, meanwhile, had been deeply embedded in small towns and big cities for years, focusing their persuasion efforts on person-to-person contact.
#41879 Nov 8, 2012
Sources involved in the GOP turnout effort admitted they were badly outmatched in the field by an Obama get-out-the-vote operation that lived up to their immense hype -- except, perhaps, in North Carolina, where Romney was able to pull out a win and Republicans swept to power across the state.
Multiple Romney advisers were left agog at the turnout ninjutsu performed by the Obama campaign, both in early voting and on Election Day.
Not only did Obama field marshals get their targeted supporters to the polls, they found new voters and even outperformed their watershed 2008 showings in some decisive counties, a remarkable feat in a race that was supposed to see dampened Democratic turnout.
In Florida's Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, the Obama campaign outpaced their final 2008 tally by almost 6,000 votes. In Nevada's vote-rich Clark County, Obama forces scrounged up almost 9,000 more votes than they did four years ago.
Tuesday's outcome laid bare this truth: The two campaigns placed very different bets on the nature of the 2012 electorate, and the Obama campaign won decisively.
Romney officials had modeled an electorate that looked something like a mix of 2004 and 2008, only this time, Democratic turnout would be depressed, and the most motivated voters would be whites, seniors, Republicans and independents.
Heading into Election Day, the Romney campaign's final set of internal poll numbers showed their candidate with a 6-point lead in New Hampshire, a 3-point lead in Colorado, a 2-point lead in Iowa, a 3-point lead in Florida and near ties in Virginia and Pennsylvania.
Ohio was their biggest problem. According to the campaign's internal polls obtained by CNN, Romney was trailing in the must-win state by a full 5 points on the Sunday before the election, the last day of tracking.
Officials in Boston dispatched Romney for a pair of 11th-hour campaign stops in Cleveland and Pittsburgh, a show of Election Day vitality and confidence that was, in reality, a last-ditch attempt to move the needle with just hours until the polls closed.
The Obama campaign was of a different mindset.
Late last month, a few days before Halloween, four members of Obama's senior campaign staff -- deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter, pollster Joel Benenson, battleground state director Mitch Stewart and press secretary Ben LaBolt -- flew from Chicago to Washington to brief reporters on the state of the race.
With the president's campaign on the ropes in the wake of his awful debate performance in Denver, the quartet had a straightforward, math-driven sales pitch.
The share of the national white vote would decline as it has steadily in every election since 1992. There would be modest upticks in Hispanic and African-American voter registration, shifts that would overwhelmingly favor the president. And Obama's get-out-the-vote operation was vastly more sophisticated than the one being run by Romney and the Republican National Committee.
#41880 Nov 8, 2012
On Monday, the night before the election, the Obama campaign was optimistic their vision would pan out. A relaxed group of about 60 campaign staffers including campaign manager Jim Messina decamped to Houlihan's, just up the street from their Chicago headquarters on Michigan Avenue, to drink beers and take in Obama's final speech in Des Moines on C-SPAN.
The following morning, bagels were delivered to headquarters for breakfast. Pizza was on the menu for dinner. Some staffers in the in the campaign's press wing turned on the Oxygen channel to watch a marathon of "America's Next Top Model" -- a "mindless escape," in the words of one campaign operative. When the results started flowing in, each chapter appeared to unfold as planned.
The office burst into loud cheers when Pennsylvania and Wisconsin turned blue early in the evening, two very large pieces of mortar in a growing electoral roadblock for Romney.
And when Ohio was called for the president, the year-long avalanche of G-chats, e-mails and text messages between reporters and campaign sources fell silent as Obama-world closed ranks to celebrate their hard-won -- and meticulously planned -- victory.
#41881 Nov 8, 2012
I see you've made your choice. So much for your previous conciliatory tone - just more bullshit and lies from you. Frankly, I'm not surprised since attacking me is obviously a pathology for you.
You lost, loser. Suck it. LMAO!
#41882 Nov 8, 2012
Poor Rush - trying to figure out why 3 million Republican voters supposedly stayed home on Tuesday. His conclusion was because the candidate wasn't severely conservative enough.
Of course he never considered that the rightwing echo-chamber kept chanting the Romney had the election sewn up and would win by a landslide. If you're convinced your candidate is going to win by a landslide, why go vote?
Fox "news" kept 3 million Republicans (supposedly) home. Nice job, Fox. LOL!
#41883 Nov 8, 2012
Rush's conclusion is that everyone who is suggesting that the GOP re-examine their alienation of minorities and women is wrong. That the REAL problem is that they didn't nominate enough of an extremist.
My plea to all conservatives - please, PLEASE listen to Rush. Please believe his analysis of the problem and please, please, PLEASE implement whatever solutions he suggests.
#41884 Nov 8, 2012
I tune into FOX Snooze once in a while,( just for a laugh )I think it's right up there with SNL and Comedy Central.........LOL! Now that their puppet they were pushing lost I love to see red faces and neck veins popping out and say how Obama lied his way back into the Whitehouse. While Obama went over the 300 mark of electoral votes, Karl Rove was still saying "Wait ! Ohio can swing our way yet!" He might as well said that we still have hopes in California.......LMAO!,Tis the season ! LOL!
Thank God the RED poorer ( 47% states ) voted for Romney !!!!!!!!
#41885 Nov 8, 2012
Limbaugh's pathological self worship features a Tin Ear immunity to the facts. He is simply incapable of understanding that Republicanism is dying out not because of "strategy," "reaching out," or "bad branding." People see through all of that, and what they don't like is more basic - it's Republicanism itself. Blaming the messenger, the media, hurricanes, or campaign managers avoids the basic problem: The Message. And with Rush Limbaugh serving as the face of the GOP, they cannot hide what they are: arrogant, mean, backward, misinformed bigots, working in service of Multi-National anti-Middle Class Oligarchs [with a cadre of useful idiots who believe GOP lies about the "Public Interest"]- All under a fig leaf of pseudo-intellectual Ayn Rand gibberish and armed with de-bunked bumper sticker jump rope chants. The more they reveal who they are, the more repellent they become.
#41886 Nov 8, 2012
Almost every single Tea Tard running lost. Including Alan West and Joe Walsh. Not to mention the whole GOP "rape club".
But, please. Do Not Learn a Lesson. Please continue with the war on woman and latinos and gays and anyone who isn;'t a fat old white man. Your Party has been on the wrong side of every major issue from health care to gay rights. If you only cater to fat old white men you're going to lose even faster.
Time is NOT on your Party's side.Republicanism is headed to "Whig-dom". Faster than we thought, too.
#41887 Nov 8, 2012
Romney is the kind of man who makes profit off my labor... and if he walked into a house, 600k ocean front, he would wonder how people would live in a shack like this.. He thinks middle class is 200-250k. 1955 white america is over. The time for socialized healthcare is past due. Insurance companys should be banned. Let the Government take care of the hospitals. Pay for it by abolishing All welfare. Let the damn churches feed the homeless and hungry instead of giving the money to these con-men preachers..... Mormon church, oh my god. You could cut the deficit in half by scraping Brigham young university ( LOL ). In 1990, I built my own home and business, and had plenty of blisters to prove how I believe a man should make his money. Because of both parties posturing for power, those wages have been decimated and the jobs and training of the workers, lost to history. Unchecked capitalism ends into the wage class split we have now. And yes, I know about marxism, socialism, communism. Learn from their mistakes and ours and fix this. Peoples lives and futures are more important than, SOCIAL ISSUES.
#41888 Nov 8, 2012
Since: Sep 11
#41890 Nov 8, 2012
But Gee 1970's Comedy Show ...now you have someone to blame your miserable life on for the next four years !
#41891 Nov 8, 2012
Told you all I would win all 438 Electoral votes. Ha ha ha ha!
#41892 Nov 8, 2012
What a freakin red neck loser. And you actually believe Robme would have helped. You sound like a pathetic little loser that didn't get what you want and blame it on govt. You little pizz ant. If the right wingers would get the he11 out of the way the mess left would be cleaned up by now. Just like Clinton had to clean up after your stupid arses. Now run along and bang yer cousin you inbred redneck.
pssssssst, OBAMA WON!!!!!
#41893 Nov 8, 2012
As time goes on, Rush gets more delusional.... Here's the future of the GOP/Conservatives:
Scenario 1: the Tea Party and the Wall Street wings of the party continue their odd-couple relationship, resulting in more of the circus we saw this year, and turning more and more mainstream voters off.
Scenario 2: the two wings face up to fact they have next to nothing in common and split up, the Tea Party probably aligning itself with the Libertarians, the Wall Street wing continuing as the GOP. The result will be that the now sizable but shrinking base will split into two much smaller (and still shrinking) bases.
Either way, they are all headed for the dust bin of history. RIP.
P.S. The Tea Party is a sad parody of the original revolutionary colonists fighting tyranny. The Tea Party has the support of maybe 20% of the US, yet they want to impose their will (no compromises!) on all of us. Isn't that what tyranny is?
#41894 Nov 8, 2012
Anybody want to suck the presidential sausage?
#41895 Nov 8, 2012
The time has come for the GOP coalition: financial conservatives and social conservatives to admit that they little in common and their marriage of convenience is over and split up. Let the social conservatives have the Republican Party and no money.
Rush, be honest with yourself and us, if you can. You are a financial conservative, not really a social conservative. Personally, you do drugs, change wives often and pursue fun however you want, as I believe you have every right and freedom to do.
The financial conservatives should formally with fanfare and lots of money move their support to the Libertarian Party. There with their natural allies - social libertarians - they could, in short order by 2014, take over control in a king maker position both US Senate and Congress.
Karl Rove's client list could lead thi...s schism. Do it seriously with a formal Charter Statement and slate of 2014 candidates. This will give conditions for their financial support (same amount spent for getting nothing in 2012) and inoculate them from the Libertarian nutcase reputation.
Financial conservatives can succeed this way in the short and long term without the anti-personal-freedom baggage of social conservative "pro-lifers" "anti-science", "xenophobic" "lunatic fringe", "gay bashing", "nutcase" losers. It is their positions that frighten away the youth vote, women votes, gay vote, entrepreneurial Hispanic, Asian vote, Black vote who would embrace the financial conservative position if it didn't come with these nasty scary social conservative policies that would certainly crush individual freedom if elected.
Just a thought.
#41896 Nov 8, 2012
Rush BLimbaugh, you do a great service for our country....Thank you for pushing a once respected party further and further to the right. Hey, Rush, get used to the browning of America, angry old white men are becoming more and more irrelevant. Let us all get on with our lives and learn from Limbaugh's lessons for mankind, Viagra and Oxicodone for all!
#41897 Nov 8, 2012
The Republicans could benefit from looking beyond Rush and Fox News posted about articles like this one. The people who comment on these articles are voters, and they are specific about reasons why they won't vote GOP.
But Rush is saying that "they didn't get their base out" and they point fingers at Romney, saying he was not "conserative enough" and not look at the real reasons for their losses: the forcing of their religious and reproductive fanatical beliefs on others. It is the problem of the GOP as a party, and not the fault of one single individual.
The GOP "war on women" is perceived by Republicans as a myth, but it is perceived by women as a reality. If they don't believe me, they should look at the numbers of women who did not vote GOP on Tuesday.
But those who tune into FOX and Rush......fear not , depression is covered under Obamacare.........
#41899 Nov 8, 2012
Please, old white fat male republicans, keep doing what you've been doing. it's working great for the rest of us.
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