#38426 Oct 5, 2012
#38427 Oct 5, 2012
2008? This is 2012,2012,2012,2012. Can we stick to 2012 please! The month is October! We have two candidates, Romney and Obama. The Governor is hard at work as usual, but by the time this thread goes down he will be up for reelection.
In answer the next question, I will take a cheeseburger,with lettuce, mayonnaise,tomato,pickle a dash of salt,a dash of pepper and a side dish of Mickey's french fries and a regular soft drink. Hey thanks.say, have you noticed the price of gold lately? Its goin up!
Check it out. not a bad investment if you can hangin for the long haul.Gotta go I forgot desert.
#38428 Oct 5, 2012
Just cover your ears and keep repeating "not there!, not there! not there!"
It still won't change the FACT that Obama is a FAILURE and will LOSE on 11/6.
Bobby, the warrior racist bottom feeder...
You'll have to get a job, son!
#38429 Oct 5, 2012
Nope, you moronic tea bag should at least try to back up your smack talk as your opinion or vote is real failure. Is president Obama winning big in Ohio? Hell yes but out of desperation all you got is nothing that concerns no one. Please don't stop. How is that flipper big bump going on? If you find your self a ignorant tea bag blame NOPE
#38430 Oct 5, 2012
Now I know my liberal friends on here will not admit this or believe it but this is exactly whats going on. November 4th will prove it.
Swing State Polls Are Rigged
After Wednesday night’s smashing debate victory for Romney, we may expect the national and swing state polls to change in the Republican’s direction. But not by as much as they should. These polls are biased in favor of Obama and here’s the data to prove it:
From noted Republican pollster John McLaughlin comes a clear and convincing exposé of the bias of media polls in the swing states of Florida, Ohio, and Virginia.
McLaughlin reviewed exit polls in each state for the past four elections. From this data about who actually voted, he found that the party divisions manifest on election day have little to do with the samples upon which the media is basing its polling. And, coincidentally, it is always the Republican vote that tends to be undercounted.
In Florida, for example, McLaughlin finds that the average of the last four elections produced a turnout of 37% Democrats and 38% Republicans. But here is the partisan distribution of the most recent Florida media polls:
9-26: CBS/NY Times = 36% Dem / 27% Rep
9-23: Wash Post = 35% Dem / 29% Rep
So the media polls reflect a 9 point and six point Democratic edge even though the actual experience of the past four elections has been a 1 point Republican advantage.
Things are no better in Ohio. Here, McLaughlin finds a 2 point Democratic edge in the past four elections (38% Dem, 36% Rep). But the media polls show vastly more Democrats and fewer Republicans in their samples:
9-26: CBS/NY Times = 35% Dem / 26% Rep
9-23: Wash Post = 35% Dem / 27% Rep
9-11: NBC/Wall St Journal = 38% Dem / 28% Rep
Once again, the actual exit poll-measured vote in Ohio shows a 2 point Democratic edge, but the polls reflect Democratic advantages of 9 points, 8 points, and 10 points respectively.
In Virginia, it’s the same story. The last four elections have a combined 1 point Republican edge, 37-36. But the media polls show a big pro-Democratic bias:
10/2: Roanoke College = Democrat 36%/ Republican 27%
9/17: CBS/NYTimes = Democrat 35%/ Republican 26%
9/16: Washington Post = Democrat 35%/ Republican 24%
9/11: NBC/Wall St Journal = Democrat 31%/ Republican 26%
So instead of showing a 1 point Republican edge, these media poll samples show Democratic advantages of 9,9,11, and 5.
The correct conclusion to draw from all these polls is that Romney is comfortably ahead in Virginia and Florida while he holds a slight lead in Ohio. And, remember these polls are all pre-debate!
Also, bear in mind that the undecided vote in all of these polls usually goes against the incumbent.
“ONE LOVE...ONE HORSE”
Since: Dec 07
#38431 Oct 5, 2012
The unemployment rate decreased to 7.8 percent in September, and total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 114,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in health care and in transportation and warehousing but changed little in most other major industries.
#38432 Oct 5, 2012
Is that why Obama became president Obama tea bag?
#38433 Oct 5, 2012
Looks like President Obama only has until 1/20/13.
Boo Hoo Racist Warrior for the Entitlement Slug Class.
#38434 Oct 5, 2012
This conspiracy theory has been thoroughly and repeatedly debunked. There is simply nothing to it. It is merely an effort by the right to set the groundwork for excuse-making after Romney is defeated - so they can say that there was election fraud since the election didn't turn out the way "correct" polling said it would.
#38435 Oct 5, 2012
Poll Averages Have No History of Consistent Partisan Bias
The criticisms are largely unsound, especially when couched in terms like “oversampling,” which implies that pollsters are deliberately rigging their samples.
But pollsters, at least if they are following the industry’s standard guidelines, do not choose how many Democrats, Republicans or independent voters to put into their samples — any more than they choose the number of voters for Mr. Obama or Mitt Romney. Instead, this is determined by the responses of the voters that they reach after calling random numbers from telephone directories or registered voter lists.
Pollsters will re-weight their numbers if the demographics of their sample diverge from Census Bureau data. For instance, it is typically more challenging to get younger voters on the phone, so most pollsters weight their samples by age to remedy this problem.
But party identification is not a hard-and-fast demographic characteristic like race, age or gender. Instead, it can change in reaction to news and political events from the party conventions to the Sept. 11 attacks. Since changes in public opinion are precisely what polls are trying to measure, it would defeat the purpose of conducting a survey if pollsters insisted that they knew what it was ahead of time.
Catch that? Pollsters don't choose party affiliation when polling. They take a random sample and ask people being polled what their party affiliation is.
The simple explanation is that this year more people are self-identifying as Democratic. And that is completely consistent with the results of the polls.
#38436 Oct 5, 2012
A little more...
So perhaps we should ask a more fundamental question: Do the polls have a history of being biased toward one party or the other?
The polls have no such history of partisan bias, at least not on a consistent basis. There have been years, like 1980 and 1994, when the polls did underestimate the standing of Republicans. But there have been others, like 2000 and 2006, when they underestimated the standing of Democrats.
We have an extensive database of thousands of polls of presidential and United States Senate elections.
On the whole, it is reasonably impressive how unbiased the polls have been. In both presidential and Senate races, the bias has been less than a full percentage point over the long run, and it has run in opposite directions.
Nor is there any suggestion that polls have become more biased toward Democratic candidates over time. Out of the past seven election cycles, the polls had a very slight Republican bias in 2010, and a more noticeable Republican bias in 1998, 2000 and 2006.
They had a Democratic bias only in 2004, and it was very modest.
Still, 2004 went to show that accusations of skewed polling are often rooted in wishful thinking.
#38437 Oct 5, 2012
President Barack Obama's debate performance on Wednesday was so lackluster and listless that it overshadowed all his bold and audacious lies. These lies have since been fact-checked and recognized, even by the liberals in mainstream media organizations. Here are Obama's top-five lies from Tuesday's debate with Mitt Romney.
Lie #1:Obama said his plan would reduce the deficit by $4 trillion.
At the debate, Obama incredibly said: "I've proposed a specific $4 trillion deficit reduction plan.... The way we do it is $2.50 for every cut, we ask for $1 in additional revenue."
In the Washington Post, even the liberal Glenn Kessler did not take Obama serious, writing “virtually no serious budget analyst agreed with this accounting."
Lie #2:Obama falsely claimed Romney's plan would raise taxes on middle class families.
Obama on Tuesday said under Romney's plan, "the average middle-class family with children would pay about $2,000 more."
But the The Associated Press agreed with studies the Romney campaign has cited that showed his plans would not raise taxes on anyone.
Lie #3:Obama said Obamacare would make health care premiums more affordable.
On Tuesday, Obama said:
The fact of the matter is that when Obamacare is fully implemented, we are going to be in a position to show that costs are going down. Over the last two years, health care premiums have gone up -- it is true -- but they have gone up slower than any time in the last 50 years. We are already seeing progress.
Factcheck.org found,“Obama wrongly said that over the last two years, health care premiums have 'gone up slower than any time in the last 50 years.'” The Los Angeles Times discovered that Obama’s promise that he would “cut family health insurance premiums by $2,500 by the end of his first term ... stands as one of the president's biggest unfulfilled promises.”
“In fact, the average employee share of an employer-provided health plan jumped from $3,515 in 2009 to $4,316 in 2012, an increase of more than 22%, according to a survey from the Kaiser Family Foundation and the Health Research & Educational Trust,” The Times wrote.
And The Associated Press noted that “in 2011, premiums jumped by 9 percent” and “this year's 4 percent increase was more manageable, but the price tag for family coverage stands at $15,745, with employees paying more than $4,300 of that.”
Lie #4:Obama said he created five million private sector jobs.
Unbelievably, Obama still believes the private sector is doing fine. At the debate, Obama said “over the last 30 months, we’ve seen 5 million jobs in the private sector.”
But even Glenn Kessler, of the Washington Post, said Obama was trying to “obscure the fact that the overall job record so far in this presidential term has been negative."
According to USA Today, there have been “4.6 million private-sector jobs created since February 2010” and that number has been revised to 5.1 million. However, that revision is not a part of the Bureau Labor Statistics’ official tally and the number is still low by historical standards.
Lie #5:Obama said social security is “structurally sound.”
During the debate, Obama said “Social Security is structurally sound. It's going to have to be tweaked the way it was by Ronald Reagan and Speaker -- Democratic Speaker Tip O'Neill. But the basic structure is sound."
Even liberal Andrea Mitchell, on MSNBC, cited a Congressional Budget Office study that found Social Security would run into financial trouble.
"President Obama said he would tweak Social Security. What does that mean?,” Mitchell said on Thursday’s “Morning Joe.”“That Social Security is in good shape, fundamentally sound. We all know that's not true looking into the future."
These are just the the top 5.
Obama was sorry in the debate and has been a sorry President. Romney has the experience as Governor and has PROVEN he can work and get things done bi-partisan just as he did as Governor of one of the most democratic party states in America.
#38438 Oct 5, 2012
Jobless Rate Report:
Guess it's unreliable NOW that it's under 8%.
#38439 Oct 5, 2012
LOL! Now this is FUNNY!
I actually went to Brietbart and read the article you pasted here. Then I followed the links in the article and found that Breitbart had distorted the sources they quoted.
Imagine that - Breitbart lied!
#38440 Oct 5, 2012
So "school boy" is now a racist term according to you, danny BOY?
He didn't CALL Obama a 'boy,' he referred to Obama's performance as that OF a school boy, ie, immature, undisciplined, unpracticed, incompetent, and lacking in wisdom. Obama appeared foolish like a school boy. Of course that obvious distinction is lost on you, BOY.
"Chris Matthews and MSNBC Now Claim the Word 'Chicago' Is Racist"
You and Chris Matthews give cover to actual racists and sanction racism when you cry wolf at every opportunity.
danny BOY:'white privilege' racist, frequent plagiarist, pathological liar.
#38441 Oct 5, 2012
OMG, danny BOY!
You appear frantically desperate, grasping at ANY straw to explain Obama's embarrassing, school-boyish debate performance.
It's difficult to choose a more pathetic explanation, your hilarious 'Gish Galloping' plaint or Al 'Chicken Little' Gore's postulation that it was the oxygen-starved Denver altitude.
Obama appears like a clueless idiot, as he did during the 'debate' the other night, without a teleprompter. Here, BOY, watch Obama try to defend Obamacare during a Virginia speech when his teleprompter failed. Gee, no 'Gish Galloping' defense possible for this cringing effort:
You, BOY, appear even MORE foolish than Obama in proffering the 'Gish Galloping' defense.
Good one! You are a minion clown who will say ANYthing in defense of an obviously incompetent and under-skilled Obama.
danny BOY: racist, plagiarist, pathological liar.
#38442 Oct 5, 2012
Teddy, don't waste your little pea brain with any pesky fact, alright my ignorant racist clown BOY tea bag. You ran, dodged every electoral map before the debate and guess what? That ain't going to change next week or next month. You voted for mccain and lost, ball baby. I want you to vote for flipper and make sure you bring all that racial white pride bull shit to the election booth. Please, can your ignorance accomplish that small BOY?
#38443 Oct 5, 2012
Teddy, president Obama hates your racist moronic ass
#38445 Oct 5, 2012
More meaningless bull shit from racist tea bag warrior
#38447 Oct 5, 2012
Is that the big deal in your racist tea bag crowd, warrior tea bag clown boy? It should be so embrace it. The president does not need your vote and apparently the true patriotic voters of this great country angers your low life extremely high level of racial hatred for president
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