... counting chickens, I see. Are you counting the plucked chickens, too?Mr. Obamas lead in the Electoral College is modest, but also quite consistent across the different methods. The states in which every polling site has Mr. Obama leading make up 271 electoral votes one more than the president needs to clinch victory. The states in which everyone has Mr. Romney ahead represent 206 electoral votes. That leaves five states, and 61 electoral votes, unaccounted for but Mr. Obama would not need them if he prevails in the states where he is leading in the polls.
Obama gets at best 47 percent of the vote. More likely, he'll get only 45 percent. That equates to a landslide for Romney/Ryan.