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Nearly six months since the biggest corporate bailout in recent Canadian history, that statement appears to be holding true.
In return for the combined $9.5 billion they invested in the company, the federal and Ontario governments will share an 11.7 per cent stake in GM once it emerges from bankruptcy protection.(All figures are in U.S. dollars.)
To recoup that money for taxpayers, a restructured GM would have to command a stock-market value of $67 billion, more than the company was ever worth in its heyday, according to a Canwest News Service analysis of figures provided by Industry Canada. At its peak in 2000, GM had a market capitalization of $57 billion.
Under the company's restructuring plan, GM has cut its number of brands in half, leaving it with four core brands: Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac. The company has also shed more than $40 billion in debt from its balance sheet, while cutting labour costs to bring them more in line with those of Japanese automakers such as Toyota.
Analysts note the company faces a host of daunting challenges, including the fact that it is still losing money. Veteran auto analyst Dennis DesRosiers noted that GM has continued to lose ground in Canada, where its market share has fallen so far this year by more than four percentage points, to 17.5 per cent.
"A GM IPO is not likely to be viable unless they stop losing market share," said DesRosiers. "Quite honestly, there's no sign they can stop their market-share losses."
The Canwest News Service analysis was based on methodology used by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), the U.S. Congress budget watchdog, in a report earlier this month. The GAO also concluded that GM would have to reach a market value of $67 billion for the U.S. government to recover its investment.
In addition to the 11.7 per cent ownership stake, Canada and Ontario will receive $403 million in preferred shares from the new GM, while lending $1.3 billion to GM Canada.
Industry Canada officials would not provide details of the loan terms, but documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission indicate the loan matures in July 2015 and pays an annual interest rate of as much as seven per cent.
Chrysler Group, which also received bailout funds from the Canadian and Ontario governments, said this week it planned to repay the public funds by 2014 under a revival plan unveiled by the automaker's European partner, Fiat.
© Copyright (c) Canwest News Service




